Latest Stock Market News Today: Holiday shopping surge, Warren Buffett’s $750 million donation, Musk makes more Twitter changes, stock market closing early| November 25, 2022

Latest Stock Market News Today: Holiday shopping surge, Warren Buffett’s $750 million donation, Musk makes more Twitter changes, stock market closing early| November 25, 2022

Philip Morris announces new regional structure to support smoke-free growth

Philip Morris International Inc.

$

98.25

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
PM $98.25 0.14 0.14

Philip Morris is reorganizing its regional structure to support growth of its smoke-free business.

The owner of cigarette brands including Marlboro, L&M and Chesterfield is reducing its operating regions to four from six.

The new regional structure better aligns with the company’s business strategy in the approximately 180 markets where PMI’s products are sold.

It is designed to accelerate smoke-free product growth in markets where IQOS already holds double-digit market shares, while also driving the transition from cigarettes to smoke-free products in untapped markets—including as of April 2024, the U.S., the world’s largest smoke-free market

BMW raises investment in Hungary EV factory to over 2B euros

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
BMWYY $29.24 0.13 0.43

BMW raised its planned investment in an electric vehicle (EV) factory under construction in Hungary to over two billion euros ($2.08 billion) on Friday and said it will build a 500-million-euro high-voltage battery assembly plant on site.

The carmaker had previously said it would spend over one billion euros on the Debrecen factory, due to open in 2025 and ramp up to producing 150,000 cars a year.

Hungary’s government will provide 13.5 billion forints ($33.92 million) of non-refundable subsidy for the additional investment, Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said at a press conference.

Five hundred additional jobs will be created to staff the battery assembly plant.

Hungary will also be the site of Europe’s largest battery plant, under construction by CATL.

Shoppers hunt for Black Friday bargains

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
BBY $81.87 -0.52 -0.63
COST $534.41 -0.08 -0.01
M $23.70 0.28 1.22
TGT $163.76 0.35 0.22
WMT $152.66 0.24 0.16

Shoppers are hunting for deals this Black Friday in contrast to last year when when consumers were buying early out of fear of not getting what they needed amid supply-network clogs.

This year, shoppers are holding out for the best bargains, said Rob Garf, vice president and general manager of retail at Salesforce, which tracks online sales.

Macy’s CEO Jeff Gennette said traffic was “significantly larger” compared to the previous two years because shoppers feel more comfortable in crowds.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Elon Musk says Twitter’s verified service with colors to start next week

Twitter Inc is planning to roll out its verified service next Friday with different colored checks for individuals, companies and governments, after a botched initial launch led to a surge in users impersonating celebrities and brands on the platform.

Chief Executive Elon Musk on Friday allotted colors for the categories – gold for companies, grey for governments and a blue check for individuals including celebrities.

“Painful, but necessary,” he said, adding that verified accounts will be manually authenticated before a check is activated.

The revamped $8-per-month service will allow individuals to have a smaller, secondary logo of their organizations if verified by them, he said in another tweet on Friday. “Longer explanation next week.”

Adidas launches probe into misconduct allegations against Kanye West

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
ADDYY $64.13 -0.56 -0.87

Adidas AG on Thursday said it has launched an investigation into allegations of inappropriate behavior by Kanye West, after the German sporting goods maker last month ended its partnership with the rapper and fashion designer.

Adidas said it initiated the probe after receiving an anonymous letter making several allegations against the musician, who now goes by Ye.

“It is currently not clear whether the accusations made in an anonymous letter are true,” an Adidas spokesperson said in a statement to Reuters.

“However, we take these allegations very seriously and have taken the decision to launch an independent investigation of the matter immediately to address the allegations.

“Ye could not be immediately be reached for comment. News of the probe was first reported by the Financial Times on Thursday.

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals de-prioritizes poziotinib following FDA letter

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals Inc.

$

0.42

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
SPPI $0.44 0.01 1.70

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals is de-prioritizing development of poziotinib, its lung cancer treatment.

The decision comes after the biopharmaceutical company received a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the Food and Drug Administration says the poziotinib application cannot be approved in its present form.

“Based on the CRL, the Company would have to generate additional data including a randomized controlled study prior to approval,” the company said.

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals will de-prioritize poziotinib program activities, effective immediately, and is in the process of reducing its R&D workforce by approximately 75{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.

Based on the anticipated cost savings from the restructuring, Spectrum believes it will be able to generate the working capital required to support its strategic refocusing through 2024.

Foxconn’s woes to take bigger toll on giant China iPhone plant as more workers leave — source

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
AAPL $148.26 -2.81 -1.86

Foxconn’s flagship iPhone plant in China is set to see its November shipments further reduced by the latest bout of worker unrest this week, a source with direct knowledge of the matter said on Friday, as thousands of employees left the site.

The company could now see more than 30{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the site’s November production affected, up from an internal estimate of up to 30{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} when the factory’s worker troubles started in late October, the source said.

The site, which is the only factory where Foxconn makes premium iPhone models, including the iPhone 14 Pro, is unlikely to resume full production by the end of this month, the source added.

The world’s largest Apple iPhone factory has been grappling with strict COVID-19 restrictions that have fueled discontent among workers and disrupted production ahead of Christmas and January’s Lunar New Year holiday, as many workers were either put into isolation or fled the plant.

It has fueled concerns over Apple’s ability to deliver products for the busy holiday period.

Binance.US confirms plans to bid on bankrupt crypto lender Voyager Digital

Binance has confirmed plans to make a fresh bid for bankrupt crypto lender Voyager Digital, CoinDesk reported, citing an interview by Bloomberg with Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao.

Sam Bankman Fried’s crypto exchange FTX was set to acquire Voyager’s assets after signing a deal in September, but then filed for bankruptcy itself following a liquidity crunch.

FTX scooped up Voyager’s assets in a $1.42-billion bid at a bankruptcy auction in September. Binance was also a major bidder, the Wall Street Journal had reported previously.

Voyager filed for bankruptcy in July, months after the crash of major crypto tokens TerraUSD and Luna that sent shockwaves across the digital asset industry and led to the collapse of hedge fund Three Arrows Capital, to which Voyager was exposed.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Developing Story

More Twitter changes

Twitter CEO Elon Musk is planning more changes as he continues to shake-up the social media giant.

Amazon workers demonstrate at some German, French sites on Black Friday

Symbol Price Change {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}Change
AMZN $94.13 0.93 1.00

Some workers at Amazon sites in Germany and France downed tools on Black Friday, as part of a move across the world to target the online retailer on one of the busiest shopping days of the year with calls for better pay.

The Make Amazon Pay initiative, which made the call for strikes, said industrial action was planned in more than 30 countries, including the United States.

In Germany, there were demonstrations at nine out of Amazon’s 20 warehouses in the country, although on Friday morning, the company said the vast majority of its employees in Germany were working as normal.

France’s SUD and CGT unions called for strike action in the country’s eight warehouses.

Amazon France said there had been no sign of disruption to operations so far. Two French union officials said they were not expecting a big turnout because the rising cost-of-living was driving employees to seek overtime.

Breaking News

Stocks mixed in the shortened holiday session

U.S. stocks opened mixed in the abbreviated trading session with the stock market closing at 1pm ET. For the week, all three of the major averages are looking at gains. In commodities, oil was firmer at the $78 level.  

Black Friday shopping underway; payment transactions up 0.7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in Britain

Investors will be watching for signs of how consumers are spending this Black Friday.

The National Retail Federation estimates almost eight million more people plan to shop in the U.S. this year Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday than last year.

“While there is much speculation about inflation’s impact on consumer behavior, our data tells us that this Thanksgiving holiday weekend will see robust store traffic with a record number of shoppers taking advantage of value pricing,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said last week.

However, Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell cautioned:

“Black Friday deals are now in full swing, and retailers will be hoping they can shift some of their excess stock. While this should clear some space in their warehouses, it won’t necessarily be good for their profit margins as consumers are under significant financial pressure and the only way to get them to keep spending is to slash prices to the bone.”

The volume of Black Friday payment transactions in Britain as of 1300 GMT was up 0.7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} versus 2021, data from Barclaycard Payments showed on Friday.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Gasoline price continues slide

The nationwide price for a gallon of gasoline slipped Friday to $3.578, according to AAA.

The average price of a gallon of gasoline on Thursday was $3.586.  

One week ago, a gallon of gasoline cost $3.707. A month ago, that same gallon of gasoline cost $3.778.

Gas hit an all-time high of $5.016 on June 14.

Diesel declined to $5.248.

Ford recalls SUVs in US over possible fuel leak, fire risk

The Ford Motor Company is recalling more than 500,000 sport utility vehicles across the United States over fire risks resulting from a possibly cracked fuel injector. 

Ford, the second-largest car manufacturer in the U.S., said that while the likelihood of fires was rare, it was compelled to offer the recall after being informed of at least 20 such incidents. The recall covers the company’s Bronco Sport and Escape SUVs manufactured between the 2020 and 2023 model years. 

Continue reading

Oil’s losing week

Oil gained on Friday, cutting some of the week’s losses which have been driven by worries about Chinese demand and expectations a high price cap planned by the Group of Seven (G7) nations on Russian oil.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures traded around $79.00 a barrel. 

Brent crude futures traded around $86.00 a barrel.

Both contracts were headed for their third consecutive weekly decline, on track to fall about 2{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} with worries about tight supply easing.

G7 and European Union diplomats have been discussing a price cap on Russian oil of between $65 and $70 a barrel, with the aim of limiting revenue to fund Moscow’s military offensive in Ukraine without disrupting global oil markets, according to Reuters.

Cryptocurrency prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum rise and Dogecoin slides on Friday

Bitcoin was trading around $16,000, after a three-day winning streak.

For the week, Bitcoin has lost less than 1{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.

For the month, the cryptocurrency is down more than 18{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} and down more than 64{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} year-to-date.

Ethereum was trading around $1,100, after trading little changed for the week.

Dogecoin was trading at 8 cents, after losing nearly 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in the past week.

Microsoft’s bid to acquire the video game publisher could face a major roadblock

Microsoft’s bid to acquire the video game publisher Activision Blizzard reportedly could face a major roadblock as early as next month.

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is likely to file an antitrust lawsuit to block the $69 billion takeover, according to Politico, citing people familiar with the matter.

A lawsuit challenging the deal is not guaranteed, and the FTC’s four commissioners have yet to vote out a complaint or meet with lawyers for the companies.

The FTC staff reviewing the deal are skeptical of the companies’ arguments, those people said.

At the center of the FTC’s concerns is whether acquiring Activision would give Microsoft an unfair boost in the video game market. 

Microsoft’s Xbox is number three to the industry-leading Sony Interactive Entertainment and its PlayStation console. 

Sony is concerned that if Microsoft made hit games like Call of Duty exclusive to its platforms Sony would be significantly disadvantaged.

For more on the story, click here: Microsoft bid for Activision likely to be blocked by FTC lawsuit: report

Today is Small Business Saturday | News, Sports, Jobs

Today is Small Business Saturday | News, Sports, Jobs
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Purchasers, which includes numerous who hit the major box merchants in an early morning frenzy Friday, are inspired to shell out right now examining out the distinctive items available by our community’s compact shops.

In Fort Dodge, lots of of people compact retailers are downtown. And those coming downtown these days to do some business can also be part of some functions to get the holiday period commenced.

Nationwide, currently is recognized as Small Business enterprise Saturday. It’s a lengthy-standing hard work to motivate folks to spend some of their Xmas-browsing dollars with compact retailers. Little enterprises employ about 50 p.c of people people doing the job in non-public sector work opportunities. And it is compact corporations, not significant on the internet stores, who sponsor our kids’ sports groups and add to nearby charities. And let us not fail to remember that people compact retailers have a ton of awesome things awaiting potential buyers. So obviously, little firms are deserving of our aid nowadays and every working day

Key Road Fort Dodge and some other essential sponsors are developing on the Small Company Saturday theme with a unique local occasion referred to as Merry on Major Street.

For all those who get downtown early adequate, there will be a form of hard cash giveaway. No a person will be handing out United States currency, but there will be $20 in what organizers phone Merry Money very good for buys with taking part downtown shops. To get their $20 share of the Merry Revenue, buyers need to get to Environmentally friendly Condition Credit rating Union, 1207 Central Ave. involving 9 a.m. and 10 a.m. The 1st 50 individuals to check in there will get the Merry Money.

The neighborhood observance of Compact Organization Saturday is sponsored by Most important Road Fort Dodge, Inexperienced Condition Credit Union and the Fort Dodge Convention & Website visitors Bureau.

As the browsing winds down afterwards these days, a specific visitor from the North Pole will get there to basically gentle up the city.

Santa Claus and Mayor Matt Bemrich will satisfy on the Town Square at 4:30 p.m. to transform on the vacation lights there.

Then at 5 p.m. they will head down to Veterans Park at Central Avenue and 12th Street to light-weight the towering Christmas tree there.

Santa will then move to The Dariette, 17 S. 12th St., in which he will greet folks at the generate-through window until 7 p.m.

The lights situations are sponsored by Most important Street Fort Dodge, The Dariette and the Fort Dodge Convention & Website visitors Bureau.

We inspire absolutely everyone come downtown, do some shopping and get pleasure from the starting of the Xmas time.

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Holiday shopping seen solid, despite inflation

Holiday shopping seen solid, despite inflation


New York
CNN Business enterprise
 — 

Holiday searching is not what it employed to be. But quite a few Individuals are nonetheless envisioned to spend on Black Friday, and into the year.

Mastercard jobs that revenue will increase 15{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Black Friday in comparison with last calendar year. Shelling out will be pushed by buying in suppliers, which was extra muted past yr due to a winter season Covid-19 surge. In-store gross sales will grow 18{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} this calendar year, Mastercard estimates.

“Expect Black Friday procuring to be in entire force throughout channels this yr,” Steve Sadove, senior advisor for Mastercard, said in a news release.

Adobe Analytics initiatives that on line product sales on Black Friday will increase just 1{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from past calendar year as consumers head back to merchants.

But Adobe stated that buyers spent a file $5.29 billion on Thanksgiving Day, up 2.9{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from a 12 months ago.

The holiday break shopping year seems considerably distinctive than it once did. Rather of doorbuster bargains on Black Friday, retailers began their vacation income in early tumble. Amazon

(AMZN)
held a second Prime Working day celebration in Oct this 12 months, and Walmart

(WMT)
, Goal

(TGT)
and others held competing savings situations.

By spreading out their holiday break deals on the web, retailers have reduced the draw of Black Friday.

But consumers are returning to several of their pre-pandemic routines and vendors hope a more typical vacation season than the last two yrs in the pandemic. Shoppers are after once again predicted to get around important holidays like Black Friday and also buy later on in the season, hoping to land deals.

“Shoppers getting actions appears to be more intently timed to getaway dates,” Greenback Tree

(DLTR)
finance main Jeffrey Davis explained on a phone with analysts this week.

This year, inflation has squeezed many shoppers’ budgets. Merchants say consumers are pulling back again on discretionary paying like household furniture and electronics and are getting extra selective about what they get.

Reduce and center-income people in particular have been strained by inflation and have shifted their paying out to groceries and spending for other everyday necessities.

“More and a lot more of their domestic funds goes in the direction of the demands of the relatives, which boundaries the total obtainable for discretionary buys,” Christina Hennington, Target’s main expansion officer, claimed previously this month.

Chains are also overstocked on quite a few types and are giving much more discounts than they did past 12 months to clear out goods and entice shoppers to commit.

Over-all, holiday break income are anticipated to develop this calendar year, but at a slower speed than past yr. Many customers will lean on discounts and credit score to afford items.

Holiday getaway gross sales will increase by up to 8{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} this calendar year, the National Retail Federation tasks.

A house price slump is coming. Rising unemployment could make it much worse

A house price slump is coming. Rising unemployment could make it much worse


London
CNN Business
 — 

Last year, Auckland’s largest real estate company couldn’t sell properties quickly enough to meet demand in New Zealand’s biggest city.

Houses were “flying out the door,” said Grant Sykes, a manager at real estate agency Barfoot & Thompson. “There were chin-dropping moments when agents stand around the room and are gobsmacked at the prices being achieved,” he told CNN Business.

In one example, a property sold for 1 million New Zealand dollars ($610,000) above the asking price in an auction that lasted all of eight minutes. (Most homes in New Zealand are sold at auction.)

That was in May 2021, when sales attracted thousands of bidders who drove prices ever higher. Since then, Barfoot & Thompson’s clearance rate at auction has plummeted, according to Sykes, prolonging sales times and sending prices lower.

The time it takes to sell a property in New Zealand has increased by around 10 days on average since October 2021, according to the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand. Sales have plunged nearly 35{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} and median house prices are down 7.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} over the past year.

Houses in the suburb of Devonport across from the central business district of Auckland, New Zealand.

New Zealand is at the sharp end of a global housing market squeeze that has grim ramifications for the world economy.

The pandemic boom, which sent prices into the stratosphere, is running out of steam and house prices now are falling from Canada to China, setting the stage for the broadest housing market slowdown since the global financial crisis.

Rising interest rates are driving the dramatic change. Central banks on a warpath against inflation have taken rates to levels not seen for more than a decade, with ripple effects on the cost of borrowing.

US mortgage rates topped 7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} last month for the first time since 2002, up from just over 3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} a year ago, before pulling back slightly in November as inflation eased. In the European Union and United Kingdom, mortgage rates have more than doubled since last year, chasing would-be buyers from the market.

“Overall, this is the most worrying housing market outlook since 2007-2008, with markets poised between the prospect of modest declines and much steeper ones of 15{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}-20{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550},” said Adam Slater, a lead economist at Oxford Economics, a consultancy.

One key factor determining how low prices go? Unemployment. A sharp increase in joblessness could lead to forced sales and foreclosures, “where steep discounts are common,” according to Slater.

But even if the correction in prices is mild, a housing market slowdown could have severe consequences because housing transactions in turn boost activity in other sectors of the economy.

“In an ideal world, you’ll get a bit of froth blown off the top [of house prices] and everything is fine. It isn’t impossible, but it’s more likely that housing downturns come with nastier consequences,” Slater told CNN Business.

House prices are already falling in more than half of the 18 advanced economies that Oxford Economics tracks, including the United Kingdom, Germany, Sweden, Australia and Canada, where prices dropped by around 7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from February to August.

“Data lags probably mean that most markets are now seeing falling prices,” said Slater. “We’re in the early period in quite a clear downturn now and the only real question is how steep and how long it’s going to be.”

House prices in the United States — which rose during the pandemic by the most since the 1970s — are falling too. Economists at Goldman Sachs expect a decline of around 5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}-10{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from the peak reached in June through to March 2024.

In a “pessimistic” scenario, US prices could plunge as much as 20{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, Dallas Fed economist Enrique Martinez-Garcia wrote in a blog post recently.

Prices for new homes in China fell at the fastest pace in over seven years in October, according to official figures, reflecting a deepening property market slump that has gripped the country for months and is weighing heavily on its economy. Home sales have fallen by 43{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} this year, according to China Index Academy, a research firm.

Sales are sliding elsewhere too, as banks take a more cautious approach to lending and aspiring homebuyers delay purchases in the face of much higher borrowing costs and a deteriorating economic outlook.

House sales in Britain were 32{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} below the previous year’s level in September, according to official figures. A closely watched survey showed that new buyer inquiries fell for the sixth successive month in October to the lowest level since 2008, excluding the early months of 2020 when the market was largely shut because of the pandemic.

In the United States, sales of existing homes were down by more than 28{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} year-over-year in October, the ninth consecutive monthly decline, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Mortgage rates in 25 major cities around the world tracked by UBS have almost doubled on average since last year, making house purchases much less affordable.

“A skilled service sector worker can afford roughly one-third less housing space than before the pandemic,” according to the UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index.

An estate agent's 'for sale' board is pictured on a house at the end of a row of terraced homes in northern England on November 2, 2022.

As well as putting off new buyers, the sharp increase in rates has shocked existing homeowners accustomed to more than a decade of ultra-low borrowing costs.

In Britain, more than 4 million mortgages have been issued to first-time buyers since 2009, when rates were near zero. “There’s a lot of people out there who don’t appreciate what it’s like when their monthly outgoings rise,” said Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at broker Knight Frank.

In countries with a larger share of variable rate mortgages, such as Sweden and Australia, the shock will be immediate and could increase the risk of forced sales that drive prices down faster.

But even in places where a large proportion of mortgages are fixed, such as New Zealand and the United Kingdom, the average maturity of these mortgages is quite short.

“This means much more debt will be subject to (often significantly) higher rates over the next year or so than might first appear to be the case,” Slater wrote in a report last month.

While interest rates have been the catalyst for the housing market slowdown, the jobs market will play a bigger role in determining how low prices ultimately plunge.

Modeling of past house price crashes by Oxford Economics shows that employment is the decisive factor in determining the severity of a downturn, because a spike in joblessness raises the number of forced sellers.

“History shows that if labor markets can remain strong, then the chances of a more benign correction are higher,” according to Innes McFee, chief global economist at Oxford Economics.

Employment levels in many advanced economies have recovered since falling at the start of the pandemic. But there are early signs that labor markets are starting to cool as weak economic growth hits demand for workers.

After recovering strongly at the beginning of the year, the number of hours worked was 1.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} below pre-pandemic levels in the third quarter, amounting to a deficit of 40 million full-time jobs, according to estimates by the International Labour Organization.

“The outlook for global labour markets has worsened in recent months and on current trends job vacancies will decline and global employment growth will deteriorate significantly in the final quarter of 2022,” the ILO said in an October report.

The unemployment rate in the United States ticked upwards in October to 3.7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. In the United Kingdom, job vacancies have fallen to the lowest level in a year. The UK Office for Budget Responsibility expects unemployment to rise by 505,000 to a peak of 1.7 million — an unemployment rate of 4.9{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} -— in the third quarter of 2024.

“A decisive increase in unemployment is a very big danger for housing markets,” said Slater of Oxford Economics.

A pedestrian passes unfinished apartment buildings at the West Bund Park residential project in Shanghai, China, on Jan. 14, 2022.

Most market watchers are not expecting a repeat of the 2008 housing market crash. Banks and households are in better financial shape, and housing supply in some countries remains tight.

But even a modest a fall in house prices will knock confidence, causing homeowners to cut back on spending.

A slowdown in activity will also deal a blow to many other parts of the economy because of the housing market’s links to builders, lawyers, banks, moving companies and furniture stores, to name a few.

China’s property market accounts for about 28-30{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of GDP because of these linkages. In the United States, housing’s broader contribution to GDP generally averages 15-18{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

In a worst-case scenario — one in which house prices fall more sharply than anticipated and price declines are met with a slump in residential investment and tighter lending by banks — Oxford Economics forecasts that world GDP will expand by just 0.3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in 2023, rather than the 1.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} it currently expects.

“An additional negative factor, compared to the [global financial crisis], is that the Chinese housing market is also in a downturn,” according to Slater. “So rather than offsetting the impact on world output of a global housing downturn, as was the case after the GFC, the Chinese housing sector is contributing to the slump.”

— Laura He contributed to this report.

Iran business and markets news

Iran business and markets news
  • TSE Ekes Out Small Gain

    TSE Ekes Out Small Gain


    November 23,2022


    TEDPIX, the main index of Tehran Stock Exchange, lost 943.76 points or 0.07{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Tuesday to end at 1,407,654.14.The TSE equal-weighted index gained 0.25{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    About 7.3 billion shares worth 36.95…

  • IME Says Trade Declined 3.8{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}

    IME Says Trade Declined 3.8{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}


    November 23,2022


    An estimated 10.206 million tons of goods were traded in the spot market of Iran Mercantile Exchange (IME) in the last calendar month to November 22.
    Compared to the month before, it was down 3.8…

  • High Council Refuses to Accept SEO Chief's Resignation

    High Council Refuses to Accept SEO Chief's Resignation


    November 21,2022


    The Capital Market High Council, the highest decision-making body, on Monday rejected the resignation of Majid Eshqi, head of the Security and Exchange Organization (SEO).
    In a statement published…

  • Upward Trend in Share Prices

    Upward Trend in Share Prices


    November 21,2022


    Tehran Stock Exchange’s main index, TEDPIX, gained 4,397.89 points or 0.31{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Monday to end at 1,409,025.47. The TSE equal-weighted index added 0.42{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    About 9.06 billion shares worth 42.4…

  • $17.2b in Trade With Persian Gulf States During 7 Months

    $17.2b in Trade With Persian Gulf States During 7 Months


    November 21,2022


    Iran traded 28.4 million tons of goods (excluding crude oil exports) worth $17.28 billion with the Persian Gulf’s six littoral states, namely Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia…

  • IME Expected to Restore Some Calm to Auto Market

    IME Expected to Restore Some Calm to Auto Market


    November 21,2022


    One thousand Peugeot 207s were sold at the Iran Mercantile Exchange on Monday within an hour after trade opened.
    The cars were offered at an average price of 3.43 billion rials ($9,616). Adding “…

  • E-Payment Growth Lingers 

    E-Payment Growth Lingers 


    November 21,2022


    A report by the domestic e-payment network, Shaparak, says major payment service providers showed little if any growth in their market share. 
    Saman Electronic Payment (SEP) accounted for the…

  • Banks Need to Strengthen, Streamline Capital, Rules 

    Banks Need to Strengthen, Streamline Capital, Rules 


    November 20,2022


    President Ebrahim Raisi has instructed the Central Bank of Iran and commercial lenders to concentrate on streamlining regulations, improve lending and financial discipline, facilitate interaction…

  • Rare Gain for TSE 

    Rare Gain for TSE 


    November 21,2022


    The main index of the Tehran Stock Exchange, TEDPIX, gained 11,541.71 points or 0.83{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Sunday to end at 1,404,627.24. The TSE equal-weighted index gained 1.23{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    About 10.58 billion shares worth…

  • Pakistan Traders Seek Formal Banking Channels With Iran

    Pakistan Traders Seek Formal Banking Channels With Iran


    November 20,2022


    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has not opened any formal banking channels with Iranian and Russian markets due to which their potential cannot be tapped, says the Pakistan Business Forum (PBF)….

  • Latest Move to Make Share Market Attractive

    Latest Move to Make Share Market Attractive


    November 19,2022


    The heads of three branches of government (executive, judiciary and legislature) approved a proposal by the Security and Exchange Organization (SEO) to slash tax on share trade by 80{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    The rare…

  • TEDPIX Ends Down

    TEDPIX Ends Down


    November 19,2022


    Tehran Stock Exchange’s main index, TEDPIX, lost 20,509.54 points or 1.45{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Saturday to end at 1,393,064.17. The TSE equal-weighted index lost 0.87{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    About 8.46 billion shares worth 54.24…

  • More Cars to Be Sold via the IME

    More Cars to Be Sold via the IME


    November 19,2022


    After offering Peugeot 207 at the Iran Mercantile Exchange (IME), the Securities and Exchange Organization (SEO) is set to offer other popular models in the stock market, a SEO official said.
    “The…

  • E-Payment Network Told to Let Go Contentious Symbol

    E-Payment Network Told to Let Go Contentious Symbol


    November 18,2022


    The government’s Digital Economy Management Commission ordered Shaparak Company, the main e-payment network, to suspend new rules obliging payment facilitator applications to display the online…

  • Put Options Welcome 

    Put Options Welcome 


    November 18,2022


    The Capital Market Development Fund (CMDF) says the capital market authority’s decision to issue put options is welcome by retail investors.
    “So far 220,000 shareholders have purchased the…

  • TEDPIX Records Weekly Decline

    TEDPIX Records Weekly Decline


    November 18,2022


    Tehran’s share market wrapped up the week on Wednesday apparently stuck in the downside after posting 10{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} surge the week before. 
    Tehran Stock Exchange main index, TEDPIX, lost nearly 783 points…

  • Gov't Debt to Private Banks Rises 9 Percent

    Gov't Debt to Private Banks Rises 9 Percent


    November 18,2022


    The government’s debt to four private banks jumped 9{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in the first half of the current fiscal year that started in late March.
    Electronic Banking journal reviewed the financial statements of the…

  • TSE Rises Slightly 

    TSE Rises Slightly 


    November 18,2022


    Tehran Stock Exchange’s main index, TEDPIX, gained 3,149.48 points or 0.22{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Wednesday to end at 1,413,573.66. The TSE equal-weighted index gained 0.42{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    About 6.53 billion shares worth 45.74…

  • IKCO to Sell Peugeot 207s via the Mercantile Exchange

    IKCO to Sell Peugeot 207s via the Mercantile Exchange


    November 18,2022


    Iran Khodro Company (IKCO), the largest domestic automaker wants of sell some of its popular models via the Iran Mercantile Exchange. 
    It will offer 1,000 Peugeot 207s on November 21. The base…

  • $3.3b Allocated for Pharma Import: CBI

    $3.3b Allocated for Pharma Import: CBI


    November 18,2022


    The Central Bank of Iran says since mid-April it has allocated $3.34 billion for importing medicine.
    According to a press statement seen on the bank’s website, the forex was paid as a part of an…

  • $43m Bonds Sold

    $43m Bonds Sold


    November 18,2022


    The government’s weekly bond sale was held on Tuesday as banks and credit institutions again stayed away.
    Debt worth 10.623 trillion rials ($29.1 million) was sold in the 26th auction held by the…

  • CBI Says to Start Dollar Bond Sale

    CBI Says to Start Dollar Bond Sale


    November 15,2022


    The Central Bank of Iran will issue foreign currency bonds starting Saturday as a part of its plan to stabilize the chaotic forex market. 
    Forex will be offered at the state-owned Bank Melli, the…

  • New Rules for Cryptomining   

    New Rules for Cryptomining   


    November 15,2022


    First Vice President Mohammad Mokhber on Sunday announced new rules for crypto assets, adding some detail to regulations approved in 2019.
    Henceforth cryptominers should get special permits from…

  • Stock Market Sluggish 

    Stock Market Sluggish 


    November 15,2022


    Tehran Stock Exchange’s main index, TEDPIX, gained 2,285.47 points or 0.16{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} on Tuesday to end at 1,410,459.71 and the TSE equal-weighted index added 0.25{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.
    About 5.62 billion shares worth 40.23…

  • IPI of Listed Companies Up 7.7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in One Month

    IPI of Listed Companies Up 7.7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in One Month


    November 15,2022


    The Monetary and Banking Research Institute (MBRI) says the output of listed manufacturing companies has increased. 
    In a recent report it reflected on the monthly performance of 280 companies in…

  • We now know what Budweiser will do with the beer it can’t sell at the World Cup

    We now know what Budweiser will do with the beer it can’t sell at the World Cup


    New York
    CNN Business
     — 

    Qatar’s past-moment determination to ban liquor at Environment Cup stadiums has still left Budweiser with masses of beer remaining on its palms. The company has an modern answer to offload it.

    Budweiser will ship the unsold Buds to the nation that wins the tournament, the corporation mentioned in a tweet. The firm confirmed the options in a assertion to CNN Enterprise, crafting that it “wants to convey this celebration from the FIFA Environment Cup stadiums to the winning country’s fans.”

    “We will host the greatest championship celebration for the winning state. For the reason that, for the winning supporters, they’ve taken the earth. Extra information will be shared when we get closer to the finals,” an Anheuser-Busch InBev spokesperson explained in a statement.

    Last 7 days — just a number of days right before the World Cup was established to start — Qatar introduced that the eight stadiums could not promote alcoholic Budweiser, leaving admirers with only a single option for beer: non-alcoholic Bud Zero.

    Qatar is a Muslim state that is regarded to be very conservative, and it tightly regulates liquor gross sales and utilization. In September, officers stated ticketed lovers would be capable to get alcoholic beer 3 hrs before kickoff and for a person hour immediately after the last whistle, but not during the match.

    “Following conversations concerning host place authorities and FIFA, a selection has been designed to focus the sale of alcoholic drinks on the FIFA Fan Competition, other supporter destinations and certified venues, eradicating product sales points of beer from Qatar’s FIFA Environment Cup 2022 stadium perimeter,” stated FIFA, soccer’s governing system, very last week.

    Budweiser tweeted, “Well, this is awkward,” although the social media publish was quickly deleted.

    “As companions of FIFA for about a few decades, we appear ahead to our activations of FIFA Environment Cup campaigns around the environment to celebrate football with our buyers,” an AB-InBev spokesperson reported in a prior statement. “Some of the planned stadium activations simply cannot move forward owing to situations outside of our regulate.”

    AB InBev compensated $75 million for the FIFA sponsorship, in accordance to a number of studies. So, the decision threw a wrench into the company’s World Cup advertising plans, as the determination radically decreases its existence for countless numbers of fans at the Environment Cup. Even so, arguably the greater section — its Tv ads with soccer royalty Lionel Messi and Neymar Jr. — are not affected.

    The FIFA Planet Cup Qatar 2022 will choose put as a result of December 18.