Adtalem Global Education Inc. (NYSE:ATGE) Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Adtalem Global Education Inc. (NYSE:ATGE) Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Adtalem Global Education Inc. (NYSE:ATGE) Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript February 2, 2023

Operator: Hello, and welcome to the Adtalem Global Education Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 Earnings Call. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It’s now my pleasure to turn the call over to Chandrika Nigam, please go ahead.

Chandrika Nigam: Thank you. I’d like to remind you that this conference call will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to the future performance and financial condition of Adtalem Global Education that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied by these forward-looking statements. Potential risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause results to differ are described more fully in Item 1A Risk Factors of our most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC and our other filings with the SEC. Any forward-looking statement made by us is based only on the information currently available to us and speaks only as of the date on which it was made.

We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether written or verbal that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law. During today’s call, our commentary will refer to non-GAAP financial measures, which are intended to supplement, do not substitute for our most direct comparable GAAP measures. Our press release, which contains the GAAP financial and other quantitative information to be discussed today as well as reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is available on our website. Please note that all financial results and comparisons made during today’s call are on a continuing operations basis, exclude special items and are in comparison to the prior year period unless otherwise stated.

Telephone and webcast replays of today’s call are available for 30 days. To access the replays, please refer to today’s press release. We’ll begin today’s presentation with prepared remarks from Steve Beard, Adtalem’s President and Chief Executive Officer; and then hear from Bob Phelan, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Following the prepared remarks, we will have a question-and-answer session. And with that, I’ll now turn the call over to Steve.

Steve Beard: Thank you, Chandrika. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for taking time to join our second quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings call. Our teams delivered another solid quarter. For the fiscal second quarter, we delivered revenue of $363 million and adjusted earnings per share of $1.17, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 25.4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, reflecting a 220 basis point improvement over the prior year. These results demonstrate our commitment to serving our students and driving operational discipline across the organization, supporting long-term profitable growth as we continue to position Adtalem as a leading provider of professional talent to the health care industry. In the second quarter, we continued to maximize operational effectiveness across our institutions through a range of initiatives.

To enhance the student experience, we continue to deploy new capabilities focused on driving improved persistence. We have introduced new affirmative registration tools to aid our students in the process of curating the courses for the upcoming term, providing selections that can be tailored to their individual interests as well as other criteria. This proactive approach also helps our teams prioritize students that might be at risk for not registering for the next term. As a result of these efforts, we’re seeing a trend of improving persistence rates across each of our institutions. On the marketing side of the house, we continue to scale our capabilities in branding, paid media and web experience with a goal of further optimizing our marketing spend.

In addition, we’re adopting an approach to deploying that spend that is better balanced across the top and bottom of the marketing funnel, allowing us to build brand equity even as we drive improved enrollments. These efforts are occurring in the context of a broad range of transformational initiatives aimed at accelerating performance across the critical value-creating activities to drive sustained profitable growth. Moving on to results by segment. Our performance in the second quarter was largely supported by strength in Chamberlain and Med/Vet, partially offset by enrollment headwinds at Walden. Importantly, the margin expansion we delivered during the quarter was a direct result of our focus on cost discipline, coupled with solid execution on capturing synergies in what remains of the Walden integration.

Looking at our segments, total enrollment at Chamberlain continued to show modest improvement during the quarter, supported by the success of campus-based BSN programs along with the growth of BSN Online. Qualified medical staff are now needed more than ever due to the national shortage in nurses as evidenced by the recent strike we saw in several New York City-based hospitals. As the leading U.S. nursing educator, we expect Chamberlain to continue to play a key role in filling these gaps and empowering students to make meaningful contributions to the profession. Within Med/Vet, while the second quarter was not an intake period for the segment, we continue to drive our efforts towards improving student enrollment and persistence rates. Now turning to Walden.

Walden remains an important catalyst for Adtalem’s transformation. We are making consistent progress in our integration efforts and expect to fully realize the benefit of Walden’s unique capabilities, breadth of programs and the attractive synergy opportunities the combination affords. We remain confident in our ability to deliver improved enrollments and expect to see improving trends in the latter part of the year. In the meantime, we continue to invest in strengthening the capabilities of our student-facing teams across the segment. While our primary focus has shifted from integration to growth, synergy capture remains on track, and we expect to deliver the anticipated $30 million of cost synergies in year two of the acquisition. Our confidence in the near-term prospects for Walden remain high.

We expect the investment to deliver its intended results. And just as importantly, we expect it to play a critical role in helping us realize our ambition of being a category of one in health care education. Moving on to academic highlights. Our commitment to expanding access to quality education and driving superior outcomes for students remains at the core of what we do. This is underscored by several achievements in the quarter. We’re pleased to note that Walden continues to rank first in granting research doctoral degrees in health sciences, psychology, social sciences, business, education, and other non-science and engineering degrees. At Chamberlain, we announced the launch of a home health specialty initiative with funds from a $1.2 million grant from the American Nurses Foundation.

Nervous system, Human body, Health

Nervous system, Human body, Health

Photo by Camilo Jimenez on Unsplash

As part of this initiative, Chamberlain is developing an online didactic course for using these nursing programs in partnership with the country’s leading home care and medical staffing franchise BrightStar Care. This course will provide nursing students broader access to home health and other specialties, which are in critical need of staffing. At Walden, we’re quite excited about the Believe & Achieve Scholarship program, which recently launched as a tool to enhance persistence for students enrolling starting in the February 2023 session. The program rewards persistence through the student journey and underscores our commitment to empowering students and ensuring that they realize their academic and professional goals. With that, I’ll address our guidance for the year.

We are reaffirming our fiscal 2023 guidance for revenue to be in the range of $1.38 billion to $1.45 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $3.95 to $4.20. For the balance of the year, we remain optimistic that the demand environment will continue to improve modestly. Most critically, we are confident that our strategic investments in brand and student experience coupled with our disciplined operational focus will support maximized value creation for our shareholders. We are optimistic about the future and the foundation we are building for the students we serve. We’re executing on a number of transformational initiatives that will position Adtalem to be a key player in the evolving healthcare industry. These efforts are core to our recently launched Growth with Purpose program, which we’re excited to tell you more about over the coming months.

With hundreds of thousands of medical professionals having exited the space in recent years, along with growing demand for better working conditions, we believe that the programs we provide to address critical shortages in healthcare talent are more important than ever. Our initiatives are centered on supporting enrollment, while enhancing student outcomes and propelling our graduates toward gainful employment. This is what drives Adtalem’s impact on our communities, which is central to our Growth with Purpose. We remain enthusiastic about what lies ahead. Now with that, I’ll turn the call over to Bob for a discussion of our financial results.

Bob Phelan: Thanks, Steve and hello everyone. Today, I’ll review our financial results and key drivers for our performance in the second quarter. Later in my remarks, I’ll discuss our expectations and assumptions for the fiscal year 2023. I’ll begin with a summary of our financial performance starting with the top line. Revenue in the second quarter decreased 2.1{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to $363.3 million compared with the prior year. Consolidated adjusted operating income for the quarter was $79.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $92.1 million, an increase of 13.2{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} and 7{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} respectively. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 25.4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} or 220 basis points higher than the prior year. This continued year-over-year margin expansion was driven primarily by operational efficiencies and a realization of cost synergies.

Adjusted net income for the quarter was $54.2 million and adjusted earnings per share was $1.17 or 56{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} higher than the prior year. Next, I’ll discuss financial highlights by segment. The Chamberlain segment reported second quarter revenue of $141.4 million up 1.6{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} when compared with the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $37.7 million, an increase of 17{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from $32.2 million in the prior year. The 360 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins was primarily the result of value capture initiatives and lower labor costs. Total student enrollment during the quarter decreased modestly by less than 1{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} compared with the prior year due to headwinds experience and post-licensure nursing, partially offset by continued improvement in enrollment and pre-licensure programs.

Additionally, improvement in overall persistence across the segment continues to progress as a direct result of our concentrated efforts on the student experience and persistence initiatives. Turning to Walden. Revenue in the second quarter was $131.9 million, down 6.2{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from $140.6 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $31.6 million or 11.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} lower year-over-year. Total student enrollment decreased 7.8{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} year-over-year due to downward pressure in our post-licensure nursing programs, which is partially offset by year-over-year improvement in overall student persistence. In the Med Vet segment, revenue in the second quarter decreased 1.6{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} compared with the prior year to $90 million, while adjusted EBITDA was $26.3 million or 8{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} higher than the prior year, primarily driven by continued benefit from cost management and synergy realization.

Now turning to cash flow, balance sheet and capital structure. Net cash provided by continuing operations year-to-date was $42.3 million and capital expenditures totalled $9.8 million. As a result, free cash flow year-to-date is $32.5 million an increase of $66.3 million compared with the prior year. As a reminder, we define free cash flow as cash provided by continuing operations, less capital expenditures. During the quarter, we continue to progress on our financial strategy by deploying capital to strengthen the balance sheet. We repurchased $50 million of our Term Loan B resulting in gross debt of $708 million and net leverage of 1.4x as of December 31, 2022, remaining well within our targeted range. We have now reduced our outstanding debt by 57{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} from the same time last year, a reduction of over $940 million.

Looking ahead, we intend to continue to strengthen our balance sheet and deploy capital to maximize returns for our shareholders, while also focusing on reinvesting in organic growth opportunities for our businesses. Moving on to our outlook. As Steve mentioned, we are reaffirming our guidance revenue to be within the range of $1.38 billion to $1.45 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $3.95 to $4.20. We also remain on track to deliver $30 million of cost synergies during fiscal year 2023. With respect to our guidance, I’d like to remind you that our guidance is for the full year only and we did not provide specific quarterly guidance. Our results of operations can vary from quarter-to-quarter based on the timing of certain expenses, which are more variable in nature.

In Q3, we anticipate a higher level of expenses than in the current quarter as certain costs originally forecasted for Q2 will be recognized in subsequent quarters this year. As such, while we are affirming our guidance range for the full year, we anticipate our mix of earnings by quarter will change due to the shift of certain expenses out of Q2 and into the second half of the year. In closing, I’m pleased with the results we delivered this quarter. Look forward to driving further progress on our goal of leveraging both operational discipline and financial strength to position Adtalem for long-term growth. With that, I’ll now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.

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Texas 2023 Legislature: Schools call for public education funding changes

Texas 2023 Legislature: Schools call for public education funding changes

Financial strains

Signs advertise an informational meeting about the potential closure of Parmer Lane Elementary School to parents during student-pickup in Pflugerville on Jan. 9, 2023.

Esmeralda Alvarado shows drawings her daughter made of birds playing basketball, made when she was seven, in her home's garage on Pflugerville on Jan. 9, 2023. Alvarado and her family have lived in the same house for 18 years, and part of the reason she chose the home was the proximity to the school. Since she had no plans to move, she kept the drawings up to preserve the memories of her young children.

A new fight for a new formula

Esmeralda Alvarado walks home with her son, Emilio, from Parmer Lane Elementary School in Pflugerville on Jan. 9, 2023.

Newtek Business Services Corp. (NEWT) Investor Conference Call Transcript

Newtek Business Services Corp. (NEWT) Investor Conference Call Transcript

Newtek Business Services Corp. (NASDAQ:NEWT) Investor Conference Call December 14, 2022 8:30 AM ET

Company Participants

Barry Sloane – Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Nicholas Leger – Executive Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

John McCaffery – Senior Vice President of Accounting and Finance

Conference Call Participants

Adam Morton – RBC Capital Markets, LLC

Christopher Nolan – Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc.

Robert Dodd – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Scott Sullivan – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Timothy Switzer – Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.

Marc Silk – Silk Investment Advisers

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Newtek Investor Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation there will be question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Barry Sloane. Please go ahead.

Barry Sloane

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. My name is Barry Sloane, President, Chairman, Founder, CEO of Newtek Business Services Corp. We appreciate everybody attending an update on the pending acquisition of National Bank of New York City.

For those of you that would like to follow the presentation along today in PowerPoint form, please go to our website, newtekone.com. Go to the Investor Relations section, and you will see the presentation is positioned there, will also be archived dated December 12, 2022.

Joining me on today’s call is Nick Leger. Nick is a Chief Accounting Officer of a publicly traded company, Newtek Business Service Corp.; and John McCaffery, who is the CFO of the soon to be formed, Newtek Bank in North America. We certainly appreciate everyone joining on today’s call.

I would like to forward to Slide 1 of the presentation as well as Slide 2, which really relates to the notes regarding the forward-looking statements, comments, and a special note regarding the financial illustration and targets that we prepared here today.

The purpose of today’s call, obviously, is to update analysts and investors in the pending acquisition of National Bank of New York City as well as the transformation of the company from 1940’s Act, Business Development Corporation, into a financial holding company under the 1933 Act. Clearly, this is an important and valuable transformation to the company and all of its stakeholders, including its shareholders.

On Slide 1 and Slide 2, we talk about a lot of the estimates and expectations that we have made to being able to put this particular presentation and illustration together. A lot of work went into it. Obviously, some of the things we have previously estimated, things such as originations of nonconforming loans of $600 million in 2023, $1 billion in 2024; 7(a) originations, which in this year looks to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $775 million of fundings with fairly modest growth in 2023 and 2024, probably exceeding $800 million, maybe to $900 million; the 504 originations, of which we have previously indicated, we’ll close around $150 million-ish of loans this year. Very modest growth in calendar year 2022, 2023 to come up with these illustrations.

And we’ve also obviously forecasted the portfolio of companies, which are the nonbanking activities, which will be sitting up at the holding company. So a lot of work went into being able to provide this particular illustration. We all realize that we’re dealing with fairly fast-moving market conditions. And we will – once the anticipated close date of the bank is finalized, we’ll talk about when the expectation of that is.

We will come out with a very granular forecast what the bank holding company and the bank would look like, which will break down things like deposits, categories, growth, precise cost of funds. But this particular illustration today is to give the market a very good sense of where we think we can ultimately deliver the bank holding company and the ownership of the bank based upon everything that we have in place.

Clearly, the organization has been working very hard to get legally accounting, the software, the ability to open a bank accounts online, digitally with a mobile application. So when the bank does open in January, we’ll be ready to go. We obviously also had to take over the management of the core operating platform and manage it in our own cloud. We’ve hired a significant amount of staff, which we’ll talk about today, as well as obviously broadening the product menu to include, what I call conforming C&I loans and conforming CRE loans to add to the complement of things that we have historically done such as 504 lending, 7(a) lending, et cetera.

We’re really excited also about delivering The Newtek Advantage. We’ll talk about that, as well as our digitized, technology-enabled manner to do online banking without brokers, branches, BDOs or bankers.

I’d like to move forward to Slide 3 and focus on the actual acquisition of National Bank of New York City. I think it’s important to note, we put out an 8-K recently that we’ve extended our agreement with National Bank of New York City for a close date ranging from January 3. I believe the other date is January 23, and that is the anticipated estimated date. Then we will actually own the bank. So we’re looking at anywhere between a couple of weeks to 45 days away, to get that transaction consummated.

Obviously, we’ve entered into an agreement to acquire National Bank of New York City that was previously announced, for a price of $20 million, which is approximately 1x tangible book paid in cash. We have received, as we previously reported, the conditional regulatory approvals from the Federal Reserve and the OCC, and we believe that we will meet all those conditions, and Newtek Bank North America will operate as a subsidiary under the bank holding company.

We think this is a terrific opportunity for us and our shareholders. The bank has been family-owned, very well managed, very clean bank. The bank, according to core reports, only has one nonperforming loan, a little over $3 million in balance. We’ve recently appraised the real estate that are lean behind that loan. It’s a north of $5 million. So very, very clean bank portfolio, primarily of New York City-based CRE loans, and probably $120 million, $130 million of deposits. Some of them are termed out. That should be somewhat helpful to us going forward.

We have some customary conditions. We’re very comfortable that those will be met. It shouldn’t be an issue. Important, the management team of the bank will be – and I say the very senior management team, obviously, because the bank is primarily family run, family-owned – will be stepping aside. The Board will resign and will be replacing the bank Board with nine very qualified bank board members. The bank holding company Board will remain as a public company transitions from a publicly traded BDC to a financial holding company.

Important to note, there’s no core conversion. We’re going to be sticking on the current platform, Fiserv Premier. We used Apiture, our terrific technology integrating organization, to give us the mobile account opening, online bank opening and to work with our existing tech team to integrate The Newtek Advantage. So not a lot of disruption there relative to accounts. So we’re very, very excited about this acquisition, which is very close to being finalized.

On Slide 4 – and obviously, we continue to put these illustrations out there because until the deal closes, a lot of things could move around. Although we are very, very close right now and believe that, obviously, our illustrations that we previously put out and now believe are no longer relevant, both in March and August of 2022 obviously, this is much closer, much sharper focus.

But I think it’s important to note, when you look at Slide 4, we are starting off with a very well capitalized financial holding company and bank subsidiary, and that is what we are targeting for we are at the holding company, you’re looking at $1.1 billion of total assets. You’re looking at 18{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 22{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} TCE ratio, 19{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 21{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} CET1 ratio, and total capital ratio is about 20{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, 25{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.

We think that, obviously, these are incredibly reasonable pictures and estimates of what the bank holding company, which will elect financial holding company status will look like. And at the bank, the bank is around $200 million worth of assets. We’ll be putting in between cash and unencumbered assets, probably another $50 million approximately at the close. That will get total asset size up to $245 million, $250 million. But you could see, very well capitalized.

And we do plan on utilizing this capital over time. I think it’s important to note that. I think it’s also important to note that, at the holding company, you will have Newtek Merchant Solutions, which currently has an NAV somewhere between $135 million to $150 million, and Newtek Technology Solutions probably also has a net asset value net of debt of around $25 million to $30 million. Those will be hold at the bank holding company. Those entities would not be part of our tangible book going forward.

So that’s important that, that gets included from a BDC perspective, but it’s not part of book going forward. However, those assets are quite valuable, and so, generate close to $20 million of EBITDA and cash flow this year. In addition, the holding company will have the payment processing business, tech solutions business, the insurance agency, the payroll business and our joint ventures of nonconforming loans.

So the holding company will be very well diversified, give us additional types of income, additional types of cash flow, and needless to say, we’re extremely excited about the structure.

One other thing that I would like to point out and illustrate, Newtek’s Small Business Finance. Our current SBLC, which is – currently obviously sits and owned by the publicly traded company, will remain there based upon technical issues that I won’t get into too much at this point in time, relative to 23A issues, the Fed and the OCC level. It was difficult, which required an exemption to actually put the debt – securitized debt versus the loans into the bank.

So that’s going to be sitting up at the holding company under regulatory – continued regulatory supervision, but will be in a runoff mode, and the new originations will be done at the bank level. So it’s important to understand how these things are laid out. And when we re-up the number post the close, we’ll be able to really get into a more granular presentation for analysts or investors, but I want to be able to talk to it so people get a real good understanding of how we’re laying out, what it looks like, what we anticipate, what we believe and what we expect.

I’d like to go now forward to Slide 5. The earnings target illustration, particularly from a consolidated Newtek financial holding company. I would also like to point out, which we’ll talk about, we have publicly stated to a press release, we do plan on renaming. The holding company, NewtekOne, will explain that whole rebranding strategy within the context of this presentation.

I think it’s important to note, when you look at these profitability targets of fiscal year 2023 and fiscal year 2024, we’re very excited about the types of returns that we can generate with respect to ROAA, and ROATCE. These are clearly not returns you see normally within a banking environment.

Well, if we were going to be doing residential mortgages and car loans and home equity loans, which are very competitive, very, very thin margins and really can only be done by successfully the big banks would scale, the Wells Fargo to JPMorgan, you couldn’t get these kinds of numbers just because the margins are so thin, and then you don’t have those economies of scale.

However, the types of things that we do that are unique and novel, we’ve developed an expertise over the course of 20 years, the 7(a) lending, the 504 lending, and we will complement them with what I call conforming C&I and conforming CRE loans in the bank, to have a nice diversified portfolio. We’ll be able to generate these types of returns. So we’re very, very excited about that.

In addition, you’ve got the nonbanking activities at the bank holding company that do not eat a lot of capital, with the exception of the nonconforming lending business out of the JV, which we’ll talk about. But clearly, the Merchant business, the Tech Solutions business really does not need much capital at all. Merchant, really nothing. Solutions – Technology Solutions does at time have some CapEx, but it’s really not a lot. The Payroll business, no, the Insurance Agency business, no. The nonconforming business through joint ventures does utilize capital going forward. But it gives us – you could see that we have a lot of levers, a lot of flexibility in the organization. And these are things we’ve been doing for a long period of time, and now we’re able to roll them up and position, not just from an operational perspective or a marketing perspective or an organizational perspective, but also delivering these solutions to our customers through The Newtek Advantage, which we’ll talk quite a bit about.

I think once again, when you look at these profitability targets and the capital ratios, this is a unique holding company. It has a lot of assets, lot of cash flow. Consequently, it also has a lot of debt. I’d say a lot of debt relative to a normal bank holding company which has almost no assets and very little debt, and really relies upon the dividend solely of the bank, dividend up to be able to make the interest payments. So I think it’s important to note that we will be very much a unique organization.

So when you look at the profitability targets for fiscal year 2023, obviously, these targets are at the financial holding company. We actually believe that they will be higher within the bank. However, in 2023, return on average assets, 3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, return on tangible common equity between 18{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} and 22{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in our first year of operations. Obviously, you could see in 2024, that will expand, we believe.

We put bank cost of deposits 2.75{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 3.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. Now early on, we’ll probably be doing more of the expensive types of deposits, probably in the first quarter or two. And then, we’ll really start to gain steam by getting deposits in from our Merchant processing accounts. We have 15,000 of them. In the Payroll business, we probably have 800 or so unique business clients, probably with 11,000 employees that we do payroll on. That is the deposit fertile opportunity for us.

We probably have close to 80,000 clients that are paying us, and 2.2 million referrals in the database. So I keep asking – getting asked the question, where are you going to get deposits from? Boy, we have a lot of targets. And the spread between, obviously, institutional money and core deposits is very wide and very valuable. So we do see these ratios changing. Obviously, our ratios are going to be quite different because this is deposits to total funding, and it’s a financial holding company, which we already indicated. We have a lot of assets and a lot of debt, so where this might not be the normal good number for a normal bank that’s got nothing at the bank holding company or doesn’t have these nonbanking activities. Our nonbanking activities generate a lot of cash flow, and they also have some very modest amount of leverage on this, which we feel pretty comfortable about.

Earnings per share or after-tax EPS range up, first year, $1.70 to $2.00; second year, $2.80 to $3.20. We’re excited about the growth. We believe that’s achievable. Obviously, we will be utilizing the excess capital that we put into the organization. As you could see, we’ve indicated that the bank itself will start up with about $250 million of total assets. We do believe that, within our plan that’s been approved, that could grow to $735 million after 12 months, $1.2 billion after 24 months, $1.5 billion after 36 months.

So we’re excited about that we actually have something in place that allows us to be able to utilize the capital and grow the business. Obviously, as we get our sea legs under us and further develop staffing, technology, capital utilization, these numbers do start to grow. And these numbers, in my opinion, don’t fully reflect the value of The Newtek Advantage and us being able to take market share from other participants in the market. So once again, very, very excited about these financial numbers, particularly the growth in earnings per share that we do believe – anticipate is achievable.

When you go to Slide 6, you could take a look at the mix, and we’re very proud of the mix relative to what I’ll call the bank earnings and revenue versus the financial holding company. Obviously, the financial holding company will be participating in the income stream that comes off the nonconforming business and the joint venture, primarily funded by the fundings that we did recently as well as securitizations.

But we like this mix. We think it’s a great mix, and it really diversifies once again our revenue stream. We’re excited about the nonbank revenue that’s going to be coming in on a reoccurring basis. We’re excited about the joint ventures we put together. We recently put out a press release of us securing $300 million worth of leverage lines, which are being used to close the transaction, which require a cash payment to the current owner of the bank as well as really well capitalizing the bank at its inception.

And once again, we’re really, really excited about our ability to reduce certain dependencies and diversify. Clearly diversify our funding sources to grow our business using more inexpensive debt versus the BDC model, which requires regular equity raises. When we closed our BDC and transitioned in 2014, I believe, the share count was somewhere around 14 million shares, give or take. Today, we’re 24 million, approaching 25 million. So clearly, we have to constantly issue shares to keep the leverage ratio intact for a BDC.

I do want to point out, when you go into our history, and we became a public company in September of 2000, we were 1933 Act company, all the way through November of 2014, and that suited us well. And the company made a strategic decision that we should convert from a 1933 Act company into BDC. Not an easy task, very difficult, and we have to go through a shareholder transformation in addition to transforming a lot of our operations, the accounting, legal. This isn’t easy.

So the management and the Board of Newtek historically, when the two roads are in front of it, it doesn’t take the easy road. It takes the right road. And we’re confident that we are on the right road, although this is the easy road. I will point out that when we did do the BDC, the stock traded off fairly sharply initially. And then it did – history may or may not repeat itself, but all of the marketplace will have to determine that. But it did rebound pretty quickly in a couple of months.

And that transformation to the shareholder base is something that we expected. Obviously, we didn’t expect the Fed to also raise rates by 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} and to have the types of inflation that we’ve got right now. But with that said, we feel very, very good about, at this point in time, being able to grow our business using more retail deposits, using more debt leverage, and also have the ability to retain earnings. So we’re very pleased with where we are today, and that’s really from just a pure financial perspective.

Then, when you go to the next slide in the presentation, Slide 7, this is the current depiction of what The Newtek Advantage will look like. And The Newtek Advantage, this is something that we believe is – and we’ll argue this and deliver it and continue to develop it. It will give independent business owners and according to the Small Business Administration, whether you want to call them SMEs or SMBs or where they got five employees, 50 employees or 1,000 employees – we’re going to be giving these businesses relationships. What does that mean? Well, most of these clients, if they do know anybody at the institution that they give their money to, it’s maybe a new business banker that typically can’t solution anything. It’s got to bring multiple assortment of people. Well, when they get The Newtek Advantage, which they will have, and it will be delivered methodically over the course of time, but every depositor will get The Newtek Advantage.

They’re going to get these relationships. They’re going to get a licensed insurance agent, not a call center. They’re going to get a payment specialist. They’re going to get a payrolls and health specialist. They’re going to get a tech solution specialist. They’re going to get a deposit specialist. They’re going to get a lending specialist and they’ll get a relationship manager. So they’ll be able to pull somebody up on a camera, on a screen and be able to visually have that conversation when they want to have that conversation, and to be able to schedule an appointment. So they get those relationships. They’re going to get analytics. Well, what are those analytics? Well, they’ll be able to see their web traffic data and statistics, unique visitors, total visitors, time on the site, bounce rate, how effective their site is. They’ll be able to store all their organizational documents in the Newtek Advantage.

By the way, everything I’m telling you about, exists. It will be part of 1.0. They’ll be able to go to The Advantage and make payroll. They’ll be able to – in the event that they are processing payments with us, get all their Merchant data, all in one place. What is the Merchant data? They’ll be able to look at batches from the day earlier. They’ll be able to look at chargebacks, refunds, slicing and dicing, AmEx, Visa, debit, credit. These are all things exist, but they exist in the Merchant silo or they exist in a Tech Solution silo or they exist today in the Payroll. So they’re all being pushed up right through to the Newtek Advantage, and a real simple question. Our staff will be trained to offer the Advantage to our clients and the client will say, what’s the Advantage? Boom, here it is. And they’ll be able to see, gee, I didn’t know you do all these things, and you could have it in one place, that’s terrific, in addition to what you basically get with a bank.

Listen, I’ve got to make a comment at this point. Is a depository account of commodity? Does it really make that much of a difference, whether your money is sitting at Bank A, Bank B, Bank C? It’s a depository account. I mean, you could dress it up. Now I’m not saying there aren’t differentiators in the consumer business or in the Fortune 1000 with different platforms and treasury functions and certain ways to move money around P2P, et cetera. But in this environment, our customers typically shoved into the retail segment for those people that are familiar with banking, and they’re just not really well treated. We’re going to be giving the client the Newtek Advantage. They’re going to be getting an asset. We believe this will be a gem, and we’re excited to roll it out and make it happen. We’re unlocking 20 years of value. And by the way, this is not just software. This is software, people and process that has existed for over a decade, it’s been developed, the staff uses it and it functions.

And we’ve also begun conversations with many institutions to white label list for their benefit. Unlocking this value, is, we believe, tremendous upside. So we would white label this for a $1 billion organization, a $100 billion organization, and we would be provisioning the Payroll, the Payments, the Insurance, et cetera, because these are all the entities that sit up at the bank holding company. So we’re very, very, very excited about the Newtek Advantage.

Going to Slide 8 – a lot of the questions, and we’re trying to answer as many questions as we can today – relate to, are you staffed? Can you manage this? When are you ready to open? Well, we’re ready. We’re ready for the curtain to go up. Obviously, when you look at Slide 8 and Slide 9 and Slide 10, we’ve got the right executive team to manage policies and procedures, risk, supervisory issues.

Nick Young will become President of the soon to be established Newtek Bank. Nick’s been with the company currently for 18 months. So it’s not like he’s walking indoor and the curtain is going up. So he’s had a lot of opportunity to understand the organization and to get us positioned to take over the reins of National Bank of New York City, which will become Newtek Bank North America.

Peter Downs and Nick has been with us 18 months. Peter Downs will be with the company coming January – well, actually be July, 20 years, two decades. A lot of banking experience with Peter Downs. He’s our Chief Lending Officer, also President of Newtek Small Business Finance.

Thrilled to have John McCaffery as our CFO of Newtek Bank North America. John, I believe, has been with us about six months. And John’s been working directly with Nick Leger, our EVP and Chief Accounting Officer of the publicly traded company, soon to be named NewtekOne.

David Simon, President and COO of Newtek Merchant Solutions. David will also have a dual role, in-charge of Director of Deposit Acquisitions in the bank. David has got a lot of banking experience, sat on two Citibank boards, and was very, very involved with both Citibank and Visa, Visa, in particular, which is a more recent stop, where he was Global Head of Small Business and Medium Enterprise Business over at Visa.

John Vivona recently joined us. I think John’s been with us three or four months as Chief Compliance Officer of Newtek’s soon to be created Newtek Bank N.A. Really excited about John, a lot of experience here. John has made an offer, it’s been accepted to BSA officer, and we’ll be hiring a fraud officer shortly. So we’re very well set up to be positioned to manage the risk of taking deposits.

Brian Moon. I believe Brian has been with the company, I think, three years, maybe four. Brian’s Treasurer and SVP, joins us from the investment banking world, and Brian has worked with our organization in modeling, treasury functions and some capital markets activity.

Kelvin Lui, I believe, around nine to 12 months. Kelvin is Chief Digital Officer, and Kelvin has been terrific in working with Apiture to get us up and running with the mobile account opening and online banking within hopefully – I would say, hopefully, but within, I’d say, five to six minutes, you should be able to open up the required bank accounts here at our organization. And obviously, then John’s team takes over with respect to all the KYC issues and the follow-up and making sure that these are the types of accounts that are supposed to be banking with our institution.

We recently brought on Tom Soucy. He will be running our C&I lending book reporting directly to Peter Downs. Tom’s had a lot of experience in the business and has had great track record formally working with Nick Young, both in IBERIA and Sabadell.

Brian Lawn has been with our organization, I believe, about two years. And Brian previously had a senior position at Peoples United Bank in the commercial real estate area. That’s where he will be spending his time as the Head of CRE lending, also reporting to Peter Downs. Mike Ogus, 39 years of banking. Mike sits on several of our committees.

So moving forward to Slide 11 and hopefully, I’ve given you a good snapshot of what we look like, and we will open this up to Q&A. We believe that we’re clearly worth a look and maybe more than a look with respect to NEWT. We’re progressing towards the full operational, financial and shareholder repositioning to the transformation of our organization from a BDC, 1940 Act company to a financial holding company. We’re confident that it’s in the shareholders’ best interest to make the acquisition, which we obviously will do, and be positioned as a business solutions company, important to note to the 30 million independent business earners across the United States. And to add banking and depository services, in addition to Tech Solutions, in addition to Lending in addition to Insurance, Payroll Health and Benefits, technology, et cetera.

So we are a solutions company. We make our clients more successful. We’re the one company that makes them more successful. We’re the one company for all their businesses. We’re the one company they need to partner with. We’ve been around a long time. We publicly traded since September 2000. We’re established since January of 1998. We’ve survived 2008, 2009. We survived the pandemic.

This is a company that has historically been able to manage its risk very well, as well as importantly to know we’ve managed transitions. These transitions are not easy. So transitioning from a 1933 Act company into a 1940 Act company, and then a 1940 Act company back into a 1933 Act company. I’m telling you, we don’t do that for fun. We do it because we believe strongly it is in all our stakeholders’ best interest.

As a quick comment. I do speak to shareholders quite frequently. I’ve had shareholders telling me, you’re doing this because you want management, including yourself to be paid more. I can’t tell you how silly that question or comment is. Acquiring a $200 million, $250 million bank is not a blueprint for paying yourself more money, okay? It’s not. However, what we do with that organization and delivering value to shareholders will be – and we will obviously look to grow the business. And with management owning 5.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the outstanding shares, it loved the dividends it used to get. But there are times when you want to invest in your platform. And what we’ve been able to demonstrate when we transitioned into a BDC, which enabled us to raise more capital on cost effectively because that was the right structure for the business at the right time.

We grew the business. We grew the earnings. We grew the dividend. Well, guess what? It’s time to make the change now. That’s what we believe, and we’ve studied that. And this is not something that feathers anyone’s nest by doing this. A matter of fact, it’s been a job. It’s been a hope, but we believe very strongly that we now have the benefit of taking the existing business. So the business methodology all went back to 2000, and mission statement is the same in 2014. It’s the same today, provide those solutions, and this is the best structure.

And frankly, I think many people feel that dividend paying stocks are the way to go. And therefore, growth is out of favor. Well, you know what they say, buy low, sell high, not the other way around. So I think you just need to take a look at what we’re trying to do and figure out whether this makes sense for you or not. We certainly appreciate – some people like dividend stocks and some people liking growth stocks, but we firmly believe this is in the best interest of all the shareholders, and that’s why we’ve done it.

Obviously, as a financial holding company, we think we can reduce our cost of capital, which is now – this is – if this isn’t clear, then we haven’t really done a good job on these calls. But selling shares and issuing BDC notes in the current market, we think that the current structure will be better suited to reduce our cost of capital and grow the business accordingly because we are a growth company. We’re really appreciative with the management team and all that the associates of Newtek have been able to do.

In addition, we’ll be able to retain earnings which were restricted by – from a BDC perspective, based upon the RIC requirements to distribute between 90{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the taxable income. And as most people know, BDCs are really not eligible for mutual funds with respect to – certain mutual funds can buy other mutual funds, certain mutual funds cannot buy BDCs. So typical institutional ownership in BDC is very limited. And there are some funds that get penalized by the AFFE requirement. So this should open up the base, and BDCs are not in the Russell and not in the S&P 500. So it is estimated by some sources, there could be up to $1.5 million or $2 million worth of additional buying, but just getting it to the Russell 2000, if that does happen.

So we believe, once again – we talked about management interest being aligned, The Newtek Advantage business portal, really excited about it. Please understand we have approximately 80,000 customers in the book that are currently paying us in some way, shape or form, $2.2 million of referrals. And you don’t think we’re going to be able to try to get some of their deposits demand that’s just out there. That’s a phone call away. That’s an advantage call or an e-mail solicitation away.

I don’t need new business bankers begging to have a meeting or a lunch. We’ve got a lot of opportunity to bring in deposits with the existing people that really do know us and recognize that the Advantage is an asset, that the Advantage is an advantage that they can’t really get anywhere else.

We talked about our name change to NewtekOne. We’re excited about being the one company for all your business needs, the one partner that enhances your level of success, and the one company that provides you with the necessary state-of-the-art solutions to be able to grow your business.

And once again, we look at providing solutions. We want to be a solutions-based company that also provides banking services. And when you look at our organization and you look at our return on tangible common equity, and the types of returns that we believe we can drive, this isn’t a 1x book, 1.25 book with really narrow margins. If you keep hitting those growth numbers, which we’ve seen in the BDC market, we’ve clearly seen that in the BDC market that if you grow the dividend, grow your earnings, you’ll be rewarded. So we believe we’ll be able to do that in this financial structure as well.

I think it’s important to note that we really look forward to competing against other depositories and partnering with the depository sharing of technology and unlocking that value. So a lot of opportunity. We’re excited about it. We wanted to give shareholders and analysts an update today. And if there are any questions today, operator, we’d love to take them. And that concludes the presentation for today.

Question-and-Answer Session

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from Adam Morton of RBC. [Operator Instructions] Your line is open.

Adam Morton

Hi. Good morning, Barry. Hey, Barry, how are you?

Barry Sloane

Good morning, Adam.

Adam Morton

Congrats on the approvals. Good stuff. Could you get a little deeper into the weeds about the deposit strategy? I know you glanced on it briefly, but if you could talk a little bit more about that, I’d appreciate it.

Barry Sloane

Sure. So, look, I think it’s important to note, we’ll be capped obvious for a second – we’re not a bank. So I’ve had some people say, how many deposits you’re going to get in the first quarter, the second quarter? It’s like, hey, it’s great to be a financial guy, but at the end of the day, we’re operators, and it’s going to take time. So we will most likely use what I would refer to as internet-based methods of gaining deposits early on. And then we will begin to work the customer base that we have existing, like, for example, in the Merchant services business, being a payment processor. Now we can – where we’re not conflicted, open up deposit accounts, potentially move money in the same day, bundle things together for deposits, whether it’s months of free payroll, a terminal, a POS system. We have so much opportunity to gain deposits with the existing base. However, we will use the more expensive money, but it’s in part of our plan to reduce our dependency on that more expensive money. And that’s where you’ll see that margin expansion start – we do want to be realistic on those lower cost deposits.

One thing I also want to note, the environment of frictionless money movement is becoming more and more prevalent. So, more and more institutions today really have the ability to move money over from a noninterest-bearing checking account, and one of the big boys into your organization, and we’re seeing that a lot. So there’s a pretty big margin right now between zero and three or four, and if the balance sheet are big enough, they’re meaningful, and it takes five or 10 minutes to move over into an interest-bearing account. People are doing it. And the good news is, between things like Payroll and the connectivity, e-commerce, Merchant services, a lot of opportunities. So we’re really excited about the ability to demonstrate that we can really gather good, solid deposit base and have this well integrated into our solutions.

In addition, historically, we’ve made a loans we’ve never taken to pause. Well, now we can do that. And we got between 3,000 to 4,000, I think, existing borrowers, and we did 26,000 PPP loans. So we’ve got a lot of people that we can have conversations with that – now as well. So deposit gathering is important to us. We’re measuring the metrics quarter-to-quarter. I wouldn’t expect huge growth there in first and second quarter, but you should start to see things perk up Q3, Q4.

Adam Morton

Awesome. Thank you so much. Good luck.

Barry Sloane

Thank you.

Operator

And our next question will come from Christopher Nolan of Ladenburg Thalmann. Your line is open.

Christopher Nolan

Barry, what do you consider it to be operationally your minimum tangible common ratio?

Barry Sloane

If the question relates to the bank, I would say that the minimum would probably – over the course of 36 months would be probably around 10{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 10.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}.

Christopher Nolan

So there’s – just given the type of assets that you invested, there’s no reason to keeping materially higher levels of capital?

Barry Sloane

Well, those numbers for most banks would be considered exceedingly well capitalized. I think that – for our institution, I think it’s important to note, we’re starting with a blank slate relative to the bank, but with a 20-year track record. So we’re very pleased that we were able to position ourselves with the regulators and a plan and be able to demonstrate that we could start this thing off with really good reserves, manage the business, generate really good returns and be well capitalized.

So no, there’s really no need for us to really push those numbers at this point in time. And we’ve got plenty of time to deal with that. I mean, obviously, when you’re looking at the ratios of the bank, TCE ratio, 30{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 33{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, CET1, 38{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 42{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, total capital 38{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. So we got a lot of business to be done. And we have a 20-year track record in the selected areas. Now you take these selected areas and then you put on what I’ll call the AAA conforming, I refer to that as conforming bank-type credit, [indiscernible] properly bulletproof credits and you blend them together. We’re going to have a very well-diversified, nice portfolio that’s frankly barbelled somewhat. But I think it’s important to note, we’ve been through 2008, 2009 with SBA lending as well as the pandemic. So we have a pretty good feel for how these markets do act in poor environment. So I think it’s once again important to note that – we do know how to manage risk being out of that. Listen, if you can manage your funding and your capital in a nonbanking environment, this becomes – I won’t say easy, nothing in life is easy, but it’s easier.

Christopher Nolan

And then as a follow-up question, for all the services you’re going to be offering, what percentage of revenues do you think they will account for the [indiscernible] organization?

Barry Sloane

Thank you, Chris. So on Slide 6, there was a pretty good – and that wasn’t done on a granular basis. And that is something that we’ll do shortly after the close because everything will consolidate, so we do plan on really being very granular and showing what Payments will be, what Payroll will be, what Insurance Agency will be, what the JVs will be. But I mean, broadly speaking, we think that the bank will probably contribute about 50{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the revenues.

Today, that’s probably closer to – we don’t have a bank, but I would say lending activity is probably closer to 65{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} with a lot of it driven by gain on sale. So that becomes much more diverse going forward. But when you look at the Merchant business today, it generates about $16-ish million of EBITDA in 2022, Tech Solutions, probably $3.5 million to $4 million. The Insurance Agency and the Payroll business a little under that. The joint ventures are clearly an important area of growth, which is the recent financing lines that we put in place and close, are really important going forward.

And I want to complement the Newtek management team where people are really having a hard time getting funding. Our partners were great. We thank Webster Bank, we thank Deutsche Bank, we thank Capital One Bank, we thank Santander, Bank United, all of our partners that really helped us. And they’re not providing money to everybody, and that’s going to be an important area of growth for us. We feel very good about that.

Now one shouldn’t be really startled by those numbers because although the numbers are big, the average loan size in the nonconforming book is, call it, $5 million. So where we’ll probably do 1,300 to 1,400 units in 7(a), to do $600 million, you need 125 units or so, give or take. So – and understand, we’re going to be using the current infrastructure. We’re going to be using the current referral sources. So the operational leverage that we get out of the current infrastructure that we’ve built over 20 years, it’s going to be immensely valuable to the organization, obviously, into all of our stakeholders and customers, which we’re excited about.

Christopher Nolan

Great. Thank you for the update.

Barry Sloane

Thank you.

Operator

And our next question will come from Rob Dodd of Raymond James. Rob your line is open.

Robert Dodd

Good morning, Barry.

Barry Sloane

Hi, Robert.

Robert Dodd

Congratulations on getting a close date probably approved. I mean one question – I mean you’ve been very clear on this presentation, these kind of – these are earnings target illustrations, and you’ll give more detailed guidance later. Can you give us any color on how much more work needs to be done to come up with the detailed guidance? Because I’m trying to get a sense obviously, there’s still an enormous amount of work to be done. The profitability targets in the presentation may be very, very rough, right? Versus if it’s just crossing T’s and dotting I’s on the guidance, then we should have a lot more confidence in the profitability target. So can you tell us – give us any indication of how much confidence we should have the guidance will align with the profitability targets versus these are just theoretical?

Barry Sloane

Good question, Robert. I appreciate it. Look, I think our organization has been historically a good estimator of future activity. And, Robert, as you can imagine, I got the lawyers on one chair – on one shoulder, I got shareholders on other shoulder, okay. So your question is like spot on, bull’s eye, right between my eyeballs, so I appreciate it. Look, we obviously did a lot of work on these numbers. And we understand that it’s important when we provide information to the market, there’s work behind it, there’s thought behind it, there’s modeling behind it. There’s best case, worst case, et cetera. So we were comfortable enough to put this out.

With that said, my question to you is, what’s Chairman Powell going to do this afternoon? I don’t know. Do you know? So yes. Well, okay, then I’ll hold you to that. I will call you later and see if you’re right. But the 10-year is moving 20 basis points in the morning. And spreads were widening and now they’re contracting. So just from the standpoint of really being full disclosure to investors and sort of explaining that there’s a lot of volatility out there, that has nothing to do with Newtek, right? That’s the key. It has nothing to do with Newtek. We’ve got to take that into account.

I think that what we put out is a very good illustration and impression of where we’re going to be. We have year-end, there’s things moving around. There’s things closing, but we feel very comfortable with the illustration. And historically, we’ve been pretty good at really – and we’ve done this for 22 years of public company. So I think that this presentation today is useful to stockholders, and that’s why we did it.

Robert Dodd

I appreciate that color. You have historically been pretty good on the 7(a) origination numbers, for example. But obviously, that’s not all the bank is going to be doing. So more wheels on this chariot than previously, but I appreciate that color. I do have one on the – is it the intention to give going forward – I mean you talked about the kind of the NAV of the processing business, et cetera. Are you going to give a pro forma book value or just tangible book going forward? I mean, how are you going to incorporate your assessment of value of those businesses into your presentation or – go ahead.

Barry Sloane

Sure. So I mean my understanding is there are institutions that actually put out things like adjusted book which are non-GAAP. And yes, the reality of it is, when you take the nonbanking activity, which most banks don’t have, and they’re going into the book of zero, and arguably, they were $150 million to $170 million, you may want to explain that to the market because as you know, Robert, at one point, we traded at 2x to 2.5x NAV. And for most of our BDC life, we traded above NAV, despite the fact that nobody ever thought we could trade at a premium to NAV. I mean, who are you? You don’t look like any other BDC? You were kind enough to model us being different. So we believe that when you grow earnings, and we anticipate it, you’re going to ultimately get your number and the – there will be bank investors that will – if they look at what’s the value of the book, blah, blah, blah.

But listen, if you want to buy banks at 3.25 to book or 1 to book and trade the 1 to 1.25, 1.5, we’re probably not the cup of tea with respect to – but by the way, if we look like the other 9,000 financial institutions, I’m not doing my job, and Newtek hasn’t fulfilled its mission. So frankly, I think that is why we’re a solutions company that also provides depository services and Payroll services and Merchant services and Tech – so these are the services we’re going to provide. And by the way, we also take your deposits, which is great.

Robert Dodd

I appreciate that. Thank you, Barry. And have a busy New Year.

Barry Sloane

Robert. Thank you so much. I appreciate that. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question will come from Scott Sullivan of Raymond James. Your line is open.

Scott Sullivan

Hey, Barry. Thanks for taking the call.

Barry Sloane

Hey, Scott. Thank you.

Scott Sullivan

Kind of a two-part question, a little more longer-term growth from the inorganic side. What’s your take or desire on longer-term acquisitions? And second part of that same question is, do you look to sort of stay in the asset-light branchless model? Thanks.

Barry Sloane

Yes. So both really good questions. Historically, I’ll call this – the bank trade is the only way you could create value as you merge. You layer your fixed expenses on a bigger asset base, you squeeze the cost out. Well, I don’t know, I think that’s history. And also, the one real – amongst many benefits, National Bank of New York City will be a really good integration for us. They’ve been helpful, cooperative, and there’s not a lot of fixed expense. There’s no long-term leases. There’s really no long-term obligations that lock us in. It will be on a relative basis, easy integration versus merging into $1 billion or $2 billion bank with bankers and branches and a culture that’s just immovable. We’ve had really good dialogue, obviously, with the owners, the sellers and the employees of the bank that have been really helpful and cooperative in doing this. So I think that’s important. It would be – we’re always going to look to be opportunistic, but it is not in our plan to do acquisitions. First of all, we’ve got plenty of loan growth opportunity. We’ve demonstrated that over our history. And we feel strongly we’re going to be able to grow deposits with our existing book of relationships.

So the reality of it is, the only – in our view, based upon how we do the business versus the other 9,000 institutions, the only value would be the customer list and the brand. The way they do business night and day versus how we do the business, which is no bankers, no brokers, no branches, no BDOs. So that’s not what we want. And the good news is we actually have a plan that goes into that. So when we ultimately go out and we report metrics and you look at our efficiency ratios and our ability to grow when you look at our margins, we shouldn’t trade like anybody else in – we should trade like a solutions company, not like a traditional bank and bank holding company that makes 30-year fixed rate mortgages, home equity loans and tries to take people’s money and not pay them any interest.

Scott Sullivan

Very cool. Thank you. Second question more macroeconomic observational. What’s your take on small business appetite for new loans currently, let’s say, over the last couple of months?

Barry Sloane

Well, we’ve had really good growth numbers for Q2 and Q3. And listen, at the end of the day, we obviously live in a macro market, but the technology and the methodology that we have built with our partners, the UBSs, the Morgan Stanleys, the Stifel Banks, Raymond James, credit unions, trade associations, it’s working. So we’re seeing borrowers that are concerned about the economic slowdown that normally wouldn’t borrow there. They’ve got liquidity, but they’re afraid that things might slow in the next four to eight quarters. They want the extra cushion and they’re creditworthy and they have unencumbered assets. Those are good loans. I mean, I hate to say it, but you don’t want to make loans to the person that’s like run out of gas at the gas station when they get to the pump. You want to have it with half tank or three quarters of a tank.

So there’s good opportunity. There is loan demand, importantly, for people that can withstand an economic downturn, and we’re seeing that. We’ve indicated on recent calls that our credit scores, particularly in recent vintages are higher than they’ve historically been, so we’re able to tighten. Our loan sizes are smaller, which is good. We’re getting more diversification. So we feel pretty good about the environment for loan demand.

Scott Sullivan

That’s great stuff, Barry. Thanks and congratulations.

Barry Sloane

Thank you, Scott.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tim Switzer of KBW. Your line is open, Tim.

Timothy Switzer

Hey. Thanks for taking my question. I’m on for Paul Johnson.

Barry Sloane

Thank you.

Timothy Switzer

I had a question kind of about your origination mix on the loan side. You mentioned may be doing some more conforming C&I, CRE to diversify the portfolio. Can you kind of walk us through your view on what the origination mix will look like over time, maybe year-end or something, especially like what percent of SBA?

Barry Sloane

So without getting – like pinpointing it, Tim, I think that you’re probably looking at in 2023, $200 million to $300 million, what I would call traditional banks, CRE, your multifamily loans, self-storage, things like that, and traditional C&I lending, 30{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} equity down, three to five-year maturity, fully guaranteed, great cash flow, those sort of bulletproof credits that banks do in tight margins and really low charge-off rates.

I will add – I know people look at us, oh, gee, you’re just a 7(a) lender, which we are, we do a nice job of it. By the way, after today’s adjustment, the gross coupon on the portfolio will probably be rolling up to like 10.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. So people don’t realize it, but those floors above prime on the uninsureds are very valuable. So it’s attractive. Obviously, when you start to do the nonconforming, you’re competing when you got to get rates that are lower. So you’re not at 10.5, you’re 5, 6 and 7, and you’ve got a short M schedule, and you’ve got all the covenants in there that our borrowers and the other programs hate and are willing to pay the higher rate on.

But our plan in working with the regulators and having a diversified portfolio and diversified risk is to put on that business – it’s less profitable, but it really balances the portfolio out, which is important. We think it overall diversifies us, gives us that spread income, which is nice, and we’ll be growing that part of the business as we go forward.

The other thing, too, is if you think about the maturation, you could start somebody off with a 7(a) loan, then going to a 504 loan, then to a nonconforming loan and then maybe go into a conforming C&I or CRE loan. So we really cover the aspects of the business as they sort of mature over time. It’s a really neat – and it’s just what banks don’t do, particularly for the more early-stage businesses that we’ve cut our teeth on over 20 years.

Timothy Switzer

Right. Okay. That’s helpful. And do you guys expect to hold more guaranteed than you are right now? Or any plans to change that?

Barry Sloane

No. I think that we will probably be a seller of guaranteed for the foreseeable future. I mean that could change. It depends on the market and things, but now we think – continue to be a seller. It produces the highest return on equity.

Timothy Switzer

Right. Okay. And I know you won’t – you’re not really talking about the deposit growth rate you expect or anything, but do you think your deposit growth can keep up with your loan growth?

Barry Sloane

Yes.

Timothy Switzer

Okay. That’s helpful. And the last question I had was on, if you have any guidance or range you can give us on G&A or like an efficiency ratio target, anything like that?

Barry Sloane

Not prepared to do that at this point in time, but it will be – at the bank level, it will be obviously, as we grow. That’s the big thing. I just got to remember, we’re starting off with a boatload of capital. But you get into the second year, it will be very – people will look at and go, how do you get there? Well, if you don’t have those branches, you don’t have these new business bankers that arguably are extremely expensive and don’t add a lot of value component, but you’re basically dealing with the solutions experts that are on camera, we’re able to generate tremendous economies and efficiencies.

So I’m not prepared to do that. We don’t want to get too granular on this call, but we’ll have some very exciting efficiency numbers, and we will highlight and showcase that. That’s a real important aspect to what we’re doing. We’re going to be able to demonstrate that we are a technology-enabled bank that really is, number one, able to extract data and put it into the right format to make a decision, but we really don’t need the expensive sales and marketing effort that most financial institutions go after, with branches and bankers and brokers and BDOs all over the place.

Timothy Switzer

Great. Okay. That’s helpful. Thank you.

Barry Sloane

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from Marc Silk of Silk Investments. Your line is open.

Marc Silk

Hi, Barry. So there were certain closing conditions by National Bank of New York City. How do you feel about meeting those conditions? And also any color you can give us – share with us would be beneficial.

Barry Sloane

Sure. So regarding certain closing conditions that were in the original agreement – I mean, there was one, for example, that required the repayment of the existing BDC debt. That’s something that can be waived. So there isn’t anything that I see – we’re in discussions. Well, we’ve concluded those discussions. There isn’t anything I could see from their side or outside that’s problematic at all. So anything that you might have seen that’s there in the original agreement that was done a long time ago, we’re dealing with. So no, we feel very good about the Jan 3 – Jan 2023 date of closing this transaction.

Marc Silk

Okay. And another note. I’ve been a shareholder since 2006, so I saw you manage the great financial crisis. And maybe that was more of a surprise than anything to most people. So fast forward to now, I think everybody knows that because the Fed fund rate has gone 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in record time – up to 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} at record time, I think most people think there’s going to be a recession, whether it’s deep or shallow, whatever. What kind of things are you basically preparing for and managing your business as you probably have these warning signs going forward?

Barry Sloane

Well, look, I think that it’s – nobody has a crystal ball, but we all do have opinions. And look, I think – I don’t know the exact date, but I would say about 18 months ago for the first time where we had fixed rate exposure in the 504 business and the nonconforming business, we opened up hedging accounts to be able to hedge the pricing duration of loans that we originated, and obviously worked out very well.

And when those get funded in a bank structure, you’ll be able to obviously ladder deposits, to ease although bank advances, et cetera, through that particular mechanism. So we’ve got really good, smart people that obviously are sharp with banking experience as well as capital market experience. And I think from our perspective, we do believe that credit criteria in 2023 and 2024 with respect to the existing portfolio, will be more difficult.

So I mean, if you were to say, Barry, where do you think your charge-offs might wind up being your loan loss reserves? Without saying what that is, it wouldn’t be imprudent for us to go up 1.5 to 1.75x where historically, we’ve been assuming that things will get worse, that would make sense. Those are the things we think about. Those are the things that we utilize when we put out illustrations and ultimately a forecast. So as somebody that started on Wall Street in 1982, when the current coupon, Ginnie Mae was a 15 and Fed funds were double digit. And this is not foreign to me, and these things can happen. So we try never to be surprised and expect the unexpected. The good thing about what we do, Marc, is we’re in areas that just really aren’t heavily trafficked in. It makes it harder to get ourselves positioned historically, particularly as a nonbank, getting people to finance the business because it’s not a simple, easy answer as our analysts will tell you, they have a lot of modeling.

So it’s been hard, but we made it. And life is going to get a lot easier going forward, and we’ll really be able to focus a lot of the management’s efforts on the blocking and tackling and really letting people know that we are an advantageous organization to really provide a myriad of solutions in addition to taking their deposit money, of which when they deal with the other institutions, they get nothing. They leave their money there, they hope they get a loan and they really don’t get a lot else. We’re going to give them an advantage, whether it’s storing their docs with us, whether it’s doing payroll, whether it’s the analytics, whether it’s the transactional capability. So yes, we feel pretty good about where we are, and we are expecting the unexpected going forward.

Marc Silk

Great. Thanks, Barry. Good luck.

Barry Sloane

Thank you. Appreciate it Marc. Operator, any other questions?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from [Douglas Darby]. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Good morning, Barry. I don’t know – I don’t mean to be a pain in the side or anything, but I just don’t understand why there’s no clarity as to what is to happen in the transition between the BDC and BHC for the current noteholders? Would it be long to think that the refinancing to eliminate the 1940 Act BDC leverage protections is a condition that needs to be satisfied before you can leverage up to a BDC as a BHC? And if it is wrong, then what alternative actions will be utilized to satisfy the preconditions of closing terminology into the stock purchase and proxy statements? I just don’t understand what’s going to happen?

Barry Sloane

And Doug, you’re not a pain. And I appreciate understanding your patience. I know you’re frustrated, but you also need to understand that we have an obligation in the note, in the indenture, to perform, and we’ve done that. And the notes are fine, they’re current, and they’re in good shape. There is one covenant in the note, and it is a leverage ratio covenant. It’s not a BDC or a non-BDC covenant. We’ve talked about this previously. So relative to the flexibility that we have, as long as we’re in compliance with that note, we will act accordingly within the best interest of all of our stakeholders, which includes creditors like yourself to make sure we pay you and all the other bondholders on a timely basis. And we – I mean, I think it’s somewhat evident that those notes will need to be refinanced at some point in time. Until that date comes, we’re going to do what’s in the best interest of all the stakeholders. From a creditor standpoint, as long as we pay the note timely, we’re performing our obligations. And apart from that, if I had a total crystal ball with respect to the capital markets, how things are going, we would have done already.

Now relative to the condition between the seller and the buyer, we could waive that. If it’s in our best interest, we can waive that. I’m not going to go any further than what I’ve told you today, except that I believe that we will continue to perform according to the terms of the indenture, and it is, I would say, more likely than not, given the acquisition that the one covenant that exists in the notes, which is with respect to the leverage ratio, will ultimately have to be satisfied with the refinance at some point in time.

But it is conceivable. I’m not saying it will happen or it won’t. And you want to know, well, why won’t you tell me? I can’t tell you, A, what I don’t know, and I can’t give you “inside information” relative to what may or may not happen. But it is conceivable if the acquisition could occur and those notes can still be outstanding.

Unidentified Analyst

However…

Barry Sloane

And Doug, I’ll be honest with you, I’m not answering anything else, so you could ask it to me, but it’s unlikely I’m going to give you an answer. So go ahead, ask your question.

Unidentified Analyst

It doesn’t sound like I will get an answer, but it seems – I mean, I want to understand what…

Barry Sloane

Actually, I gave you a really good answer. I did. You may not like it, but I gave you a really good answer.

Unidentified Analyst

Well, I guess what I was trying to get at next on the same question is that, that point in time, even if it is not as having to do with the closing, that point in time will be when you attempt to or want to raise your leverage ratios higher than is required by the 1940 Act – that’s allowed by the 1940 Act. Isn’t that right?

Barry Sloane

I think your question was, if you’re in a position where that covenant would be violated, are you likely to refinance the notes then? Is that your question?

Unidentified Analyst

Basically, I suppose. I mean, I assume you’re saying that it’s probably not going to happen as a precondition of the stock purchase. So yes, that’s the next area of protections that seems to be there, and that’s what I want to understand.

Barry Sloane

So my answer to the question that I illuminated on is, yes. And relative to the second question, that’s a condition between the seller and the buyer. It’s got nothing to do with the bondholders.

Unidentified Analyst

Okay. That didn’t make any sense to me. I don’t know who the seller and the buyer are in this case, but this is probably not the right…

Barry Sloane

Seller is the seller of the bank. The buyer is Newtek, and the bondholders – we have an obligation to the bondholders, which is to make sure that we’re in compliance. And we anticipate and will endeavor to continue to be in compliance and make sure that, that does not get violated. And I understand your position, you’d like to get the make-whole premium or whatever it is you want to do. I understand it. But our obligation was to pay the note and pay it timely. That’s all I can tell you.

Unidentified Analyst

All right. I guess we’re not going to get any further with this then, so yes.

Barry Sloane

Well, I thought we’ve accomplished a lot, and I appreciate you joining the call. I really do.

Unidentified Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Barry Sloane

Thank you, Doug.

Operator

And our next question will come from [indiscernible]. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Yes. Good morning, Mr. Sloane. I’m a stockholder. So let me just ask you some simple questions. Basically, I purchased the stock for the dividend. I understand the dividend is going to be adjusted downward. But where would you see the dividend being in a year from now compared to where it is now?

Barry Sloane

Thank you. And I appreciate the question. And look, I want to be clear to everybody on the call. We know it’s great questions. We don’t filter them. I can tell, we take them all. And we try to be transparent. We’ve been doing this for two decades. And I appreciate everyone that’s invested in the company. I think we’ve historically done a good job for shareholders.

I think from your perspective, you bought the stock for the dividend. We went through a process of soliciting votes. We got 89{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the vote to withdraw our election as a BDC. So obviously, a majority of the stockholders believe it was our best interest to ultimately buy the bank, convert to a bank holding company withdraw. Now the bank currently does not exist. The bank should exist or anticipated in January, then it’s real. The only party that can actually declare a dividend is the bank Board. I can’t. I’ve given the market a sense that we will think about paying a dividend that’s equivalent to the higher end of the range of bank holding companies that are similar.

But I say that it’s December 14 by the time the deal closes, and this gets declared and – we’re going to have a conversation with the Board. It would be imprudent for me and totally inappropriate for me to put a number on this because I can’t declare it. I have a sense of things, and I’ve tried to give that. So that’s kind of what I’ve said. And I think that because we’ve been that transparent almost from the beginning, investors that – solely only wanted to get the dividend – only. They’ve exited. And we believe that the total return will benefit in the current structure, which is why; A, management and the Board thought it was good to buy the bank while it went out and got an 89{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} vote and why we’ve done the transaction.

So I certainly understand your frustration. Look, in the event that you believe in management and that they’re right – now you also understand you’ve got this transformation of shareholders, you’ve got a bear market, you’ve got financials being bad, you’ve got rates going up 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. So I mean if you want to blame me for the stock price solely and nothing else, you can do that. But I think my point is we would like – we’ve likely indicated to the market, and it’s only an indication, that the company will have a dividend. I’m being very clear, the only party that can declare that dividend is the bank Board. By the way, it’s easier for me to say that today because now, I believe that we project it to the regulators in our plan that that’s part of our plan. So I feel better about it today than I did down the road. That’s why people wanted more certainty. It’s like, how do you have certainty when you know your plan isn’t approved? So this isn’t easy to do. Anyway, we’re trying as best as we can. I appreciate your question. Did I answer it for you?

Unidentified Analyst

Yes. I understand what you said, and I understand the dividend is going down, but as the stockholder, I’m going to stick with you guys for a while because I understand we’re going to go to growth mode, but I still like growth as well as the dividend. So you did answer my question.

Barry Sloane

And by the way, I want you to know, I love the dividend. You know why?

Unidentified Analyst

Why?

Barry Sloane

Because I own 1 million shares and I get a lot of it.

Unidentified Analyst

There you go.

Barry Sloane

I don’t know why people can’t understand that. I mean management owns 5.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the – I get those dividends. I love those dividends.

Unidentified Analyst

Thank you very much. I appreciate the answers.

Barry Sloane

Thank you for your questions.

Operator

And I’m showing no further questions. I would now like to turn the conference back to Barry for closing remarks.

Barry Sloane

All right. Well, look, this has been terrific. Really thankful for all the thoughtful questions, the update, the analyst participation. We’re going to work hard with our head down. We’re running to the finish line, and we look forward to delivering. And thank you very much. Appreciate all your time today. Thank you.

Operator

And this concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Newtek Business Services Corp. to Hold Investor Conference Call on Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 8:30 am ET

Newtek Business Services Corp. to Hold Investor Conference Call on Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 8:30 am ET
Newtek Business Services Corp.

Newtek Organization Products and services Corp.

Will Give Update on the Monetary Illustration of the Lender Holding Organization and the Lender on a Go-Ahead Foundation Subsequent to the Acquisition of the Nationwide Bank of New York City

BOCA RATON, Fla., Dec. 12, 2022 (World NEWSWIRE) — Newtek Business enterprise Providers Corp., (Nasdaq: NEWT), an internally managed business development corporation (“BDC”), nowadays announced that Barry Sloane, Chief Executive Officer, will keep a meeting call on Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 8:30 am ET, to present an update on the pending acquisition of Nationwide Lender of New York Town (“NBNYC”) and to talk about the Company’s economic illustration as a financial institution holding firm.

The corresponding presentation titled ‘Update on Pending Acquisition of Countrywide Financial institution of New York City’ dated December 12, 2022, will be accessible in the ‘Events & Presentations’ area of the Investor Relations portion of Newtek’s website at http://investor.newtekbusinessservices.com/situations-and-shows, right after current market close on Tuesday, December 13, 2022 at 4:00 pm ET.

To attend the convention call or webcast, participants really should sign up on the internet at http://investor.newtekbusinessservices.com/occasions-and-displays. To acquire a dial-in selection, individuals are requested to register at a minimum amount of 15 minutes just before the start of the call. A replay of the call with the corresponding presentation will be available on Newtek’s website soon adhering to the live presentation and will be offered for a interval of 90 times.

About Newtek Business Providers Corp.

Newtek Enterprise Providers Corp., Your Enterprise Solutions Corporation®, is an internally managed BDC, which along with its managed portfolio providers, delivers a extensive assortment of business enterprise and money remedies beneath the Newtek® brand name to the tiny- and medium-sized small business (“SMB”) market. Since 1999, Newtek has presented condition-of-the-artwork, cost-efficient items and services and productive organization techniques to SMB interactions throughout all 50 states to assistance them develop their sales, manage their expenditures and reduce their risk.

Newtek’s and its portfolio companies’ goods and expert services incorporate: Organization Lending, SBA Lending Methods, Digital Payment Processing, Engineering Options (Cloud Computing, Facts Backup, Storage and Retrieval, IT Consulting), eCommerce, Accounts Receivable Financing & Inventory Funding, Insurance policies Alternatives, World wide web Solutions, and Payroll and Advantages Remedies.

Newtek® and Your Company Answers Firm®, are registered emblems of Newtek Small business Services Corp.

Take note Concerning Forward Seeking Statements

This push launch includes certain ahead-looking statements. Text such as “believes,” “intends,” “expects,” “projects,” “anticipates,” “forecasts,” “goal” and “future” or very similar expressions are meant to detect ahead-on the lookout statements. All forward-on the lookout statements require a variety of risks and uncertainties that could cause real effects to vary materially from the designs, intentions and expectations reflected in or recommended by the ahead-seeking statements. These types of dangers and uncertainties consist of, between other people, involve our skill to near the pending acquisition of the National Lender of New York City (the “Transaction”), get hold of required regulatory approvals for the pending Transaction, the timing of the closing of the Transaction, the timing of the Company’s discontinuance from regulation as a BDC below the 1940 Act, projections relating to or looking at the pending Transaction, the timing of our skill to originate new investments, realize sure margins and stages of profitability, the availability of extra money and the capacity to manage certain financial debt to asset ratios, intensified competitiveness, operating complications and their affect on revenues and income margins, expected long run company methods and fiscal overall performance, expected future variety of customers, business prospective clients, legislative developments and similar matters. Threat factors, cautionary statements and other situations, which could trigger Newtek’s precise benefits to vary from management’s existing expectations, are contained in Newtek’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available via http://www.sec.gov/. Newtek cautions you that forward-on the lookout statements are not assures of long term general performance and that true effects or developments may well differ materially from those projected or implied in these statements.

Source: Newtek Business enterprise Services Corp.

Investor Relations & Public Relations
Get hold of: Jayne Cavuoto
Phone: (212) 273-8179 / jcavuoto@newtekone.com

A call for transformative action on education financing as learning poverty soars

A call for transformative action on education financing as learning poverty soars

The entire world is struggling with a mastering disaster in minimal- and reduce-center-income international locations (LICs and LMICs). This is, to a massive extent, a issue stemming from the long-term under-financing of education in numerous nations around the world.

When mastering poverty—a measure of little ones unable to browse and understand a basic passage by age 10—has improved to 70 percent , public investing in education and learning getting the major resource of education financing remains inadequate in a greater part of LICs and LMICs. The 2022 Training Finance Watch (EFW 2022) files the stark community paying (for every capita) variations that exist and persist. On average, LICs invest $53 for every capita on training, LMICs commit $318, and superior-cash flow international locations (HICs) spend about $7,800 (determine 1).

Determine 1 (a,b): Government instruction spending throughout money teams

Supply: EFW 2022

Very low general public paying on training final results in households bearing a considerable portion of training prices, typically from a marginal profits. In LICs, 39 percent of the total expending on education arrives specifically from households and in LMICs 26 per cent is from homes. This is when compared to 2 {ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} in HICs. In LICs and LMICs, comparatively far more affluent homes shell out a lot more on education and learning when compared to poorer households, increasing sizeable equity problems. A further problem similar to education financing is the diminished international financial support. In 2020 and 2021, formal progress aid (ODA) rose largely in reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic ODA to education lost ground to other sectors, primarily health (figure 2). In 2020, general immediate bilateral assist to education and learning fell by $359 million.

Determine 2: Education, authorities, and well being as a share of total sector-allocable assist (disbursements), 2010–20

Resource: EFW 2022

In addition to minimal public paying, inequity in home investing, and diminished ODA, many international locations are struggling with a noticeably challenged macro-financial reality , which includes the influence of local climate change and conflict. Several LICs and LMICs deal with major problems in applying the urgent actions essential, which includes increased spending plan allocations to combat poverty.

World-wide transformation = area transformation?

In September 2022, the Reworking Training Summit was convened by the UN Secretary Common (UNSG) for the duration of the 77th session of the UN Basic Assembly to provoke methods for some of the important issues in schooling, one particular of them being training financing. Along with UNESCO and the World wide Partnership for Training (GPE), the Environment Lender was the anchor company for Thematic Motion Track 5 (AT5), Funding of Education , supporting the governments of Fiji and Belgium and the Worldwide Coalition for Training (GCE).

AT5 held community consultations with state associates, advancement companions, civil society, and a variety of stakeholders amongst May perhaps and June to harness perspectives on steps inside of the subsequent 3 overarching locations: 1) mobilizing much more domestic and intercontinental methods 2) rising the effectiveness and equity of allocations and expenditures and 3) improving schooling financing data and accountability. The motion parts variety the basis of the Call to Action on training funding, partly integrated in the UNSG’s Eyesight Assertion calling for the international neighborhood to assist, complement and encourage national attempts in investing adequately, equitably and effectively in instruction.

The Environment Financial institution is currently using transformative action on training financing

Moving forward, the Environment Bank as member of the SDG4 Substantial-Level Steering Committee will engage in an active part in shaping the articles of the Get in touch with to Motion on instruction funding. In addition, in alignment with the UNSG’s Eyesight Statement, the Entire world Lender will keep on to work with governments and leverage present world wide cooperation mechanisms to align assets in guidance of countrywide education expense designs with a solid concentrate on achieving studying success at national stage. A pertinent illustration is the Accelerator system , which supports governments in setting and checking foundational learning targets, together with creating an evidence-backed plan outlining how to achieve the targets, and the related investment decision specifications.

Furthermore, the Planet Bank’s approach to training financing aligns with the motion spots of the AT5 Get in touch with to Action and the UNSG Eyesight Statement:

1. Mobilizing higher domestic and external methods for education: The Earth Financial institution, getting the premier external financier of instruction in LICs, LMICs and center-profits nations (MICs), gives $23.61 billion in education and learning funding to 95 countries (determine 3). Moreover, the Planet Bank carries on to be the largest utilizing company for the World-wide Partnership for Education and learning (GPE) and manages 54 percent of the GPE portfolio.

Figure 3: Earth Lender commitments in education

Resource: OECD-CRS databases

In December 2021, the most significant ever replenishment of the International Enhancement Association—the Globe Bank’s fund for the poorest countries—raised $93 billion, and includes a certain concentrate on human money and education aiming to lessen world understanding poverty.

2. Escalating the effectiveness and fairness of training expenditures: The Environment Bank areas a solid concentration on enhancing fairness, performance, and economic administration. To this conclusion, the Planet Bank produced the Fin-Ed toolkit (piloted in various international locations such as Myanmar and will launch in January 2023) and conducts various community expenditure critiques yearly, aimed at supporting region groups and shoppers in pinpointing vital issues and reform opportunities connected with monetary management in the instruction sector.

3. Improving upon education and learning funding details and accountability: Strengthening training funding data, accountability, and monitoring is critical to attaining transformative improve. This includes improving transparency, having improved facts for final decision producing, and supporting the publication of up-to-day region information, prioritizing essential datasets. An example is the 2022 Instruction Finance View the Earth Lender, along with the World wide Education and learning Monitoring Report and UNESCO Institute for Statistics, made the EFW, which is an annual report sequence on the international state of training funding.

Transformative adjust need to get started now

Amid several world crises, discovering poverty is a silent disaster that ought to be addressed urgently at the worldwide and national concentrations. We must make the transformation of training a success by reaffirming our unwavering political and money dedication to training and act urgently to build more effective, equitable and resilient instruction systems, the place finding out for all kids is at the core. Collaboration and transformative modify should start out now if not, we threat dropping a generation of children. And that will spell catastrophe.

 

Newtek Business Services Corp. (NEWT) Q3 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

Newtek Business Services Corp. (NEWT) Q3 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

Newtek Business Services Corp. (NASDAQ:NEWT) Q3 2022 Earnings Conference Call November 8, 2022 8:30 AM ET

Company Participants

Barry Sloane – Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Nicholas Leger – Executive Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

John McCaffery – SVP of Accounting and Finance

Conference Call Participants

Jim Collins – Excelsior Capital Partners

Paul Johnson – Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Newtek Business Services Corp. Q3 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, President and CEO and Founder, Barry Sloane.

Barry Sloane

Good morning, everyone, and appreciate you all attending our third quarter 2022 financial results conference call. First, I’d like to welcome John McCaffery to the call. Today. John, is our SVP of Accounting and Finance and John was hired with our intent that subject to regulatory approval, John will become the Chief Financial Officer of Newtek Bank. In addition to John being on the call today is Nicholas Leger. Nick is Chief accounting Officer of our publicly traded company Newtek Business Service Corp. and he’ll be doing the financial part of the presentation towards the end of the call. And the voice you hear today is Barry Sloane, President CEO and Founder of Newtek business services Corp.

We have many new people that are attending today’s call. Just a little bit of background. Newtek was founded in 1998 [indiscernible] in a New York City apartment, 120 West 18th Street apartment 4B. We reverse merger into a publicly traded company in September of 2000.

I say that because as I do a little bit of counting on my fingers and toes, we’ve probably done about 88 to 89 of these quarterly earnings reports and conference calls. As they say, not our first rodeo. We’ve been through up markets, down markets, up credit cycles, down credit cycles, up rates, down rates. We’ve seen it all and you’ve got a very experienced management team and Board that has been able to manage through all these turbulent times and turbulent waters.

We also like to welcome the analyst community that has followed us, KBW, Raymond James, Ladenburg Thalmann and Compass Point. We appreciate the work that you do in our company, and the reports that you put out. For those of you looking to follow along on the conference call, the presentation is located on our Web site, newtekone.com, newtekone.com in the Investor Relations section. You’ll be able to follow along with the PowerPoint, or you can go to the webcast and the PowerPoint is available there as well.

We think that today’s call will help demonstrate that we’ve had through the first 9 months of this year tremendous operating performance. We’re very excited about telling our story. And obviously we’re seeing very turbulent times in the capital market. And there’s somewhat of a disconnect, we think between capital markets and what’s actually going on within the company. We hope to clear up some of that and depict a very strong, 9 months recent quarter and operating history of the company.

I’d like to roll forward to Slide #2. Obviously, for those that have been following the company, many of you are aware we’re going through a potential and likely transformation to acquire National Bank of New York City and to become a publicly traded bank holding company. On August 2, we entered into a stock purchase agreement to acquire National Bank of New York City for approximately 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of book value.

We’re excited about that potential acquisition that is subject to government regulatory approval from the Federal Reserve to approve us to the bank holding company and the OCC to approve the acquisition of the bank. We’ve been working on that for over a year and believe we’re very, very close.

On June 1, at a special meeting of the shareholders where the company issued a proxy previously. We got 89{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the votes cast at that special meeting in favor of withdrawing our election as a business development company and giving the Board the authorization to withdraw that election, which potentially would free the way for us to acquire the bank and then use leverage to grow the bank and our business going forward.

As described in the May 2 proxy that we put out, the rationale for us, transforming Newtek Business Service Corp., potentially from the BDC into a bank holding company is laid out very well in the proxy. But it’s important to restate the rationale. Way back when we announced the deal, and obviously the decision to potentially pursue the bank and transform the company was made prior to that. We did think that rates might rise. We did think that quality spreads might rise. We also believe that as a growth company, the better financial structure to be in would be a bank holding company, owning a bank.

But I want to make it very clear, as you’ll see in our presentation, not in the traditional way that most of the 9,000 financial institutions exist today. I say that credit unions, banks et cetera. We will be positioned as a bank of the future, a technology enabled bank and a bank that offers real value to its clients which you’ll see through our discussion of our technology The Newtek Advantage, and many of the assets that we talked about in this particular presentation.

So when you look at the highlights of the proxy statement: number one, BDCs are limited to leverage. It can’t grow more than 2 to 1. And typically, most BDCs kind of hover between 1 to 1 and 1 and 1.5 to 1. Number two, that cap basically means if you’re growing, which we have historically grown, look at our dividend earnings payout over the course of our BDC life in 8 years. You could see it grew tremendously, particularly from 2014, 2015, when we became a BDC to last year, tremendous growth in earnings and dividends.

You always have to continue to sell shares of stock. We believe that we’ll be able to use the bank’s balance sheet, and the appropriate leverage risk per reward in a banking structure to take advantage of the fact that we will not have to dilute shareholders as much and also we’ll be able to use more cost effective debt through core deposits versus expensive BDC debt.

We view that as the low hanging transform — transformative fruit in the transaction. Also, importantly, leveraging the company’s patented technologies, NewTracker, the Dashboard, The Newtek Advantage, some patents that are existing, some that have patents that are applied and patents pending, we are very, very excited about this opportunity. And we’ll be discussing it throughout the presentation.

On Slide #3, and we talk about unlocking the value of our homegrown technology, once again, addressing the history of the company. We’ve been in business for over two decades. And we’ve grown our business without the use of brokers, branches, bankers, or BDOs. We use technology to acquire clients, we use strategic alliance relationships, we’ve created The Newtek Advantage, which will be a dashboard for business clients, which we’ll talk a lot about today.

And we look at organizations like Live Oak who we applaud, and things that they’ve done with nCino. And we believe that we can follow in their footsteps and unlock the technology that we’ve created much better in being a bank holding company, owning a bank, and also spinning out some of that technology and offering it to other players in the space than just being in our current position as a BDC.

We believe that the technologies that we have, the ability to unlock further shareholder value, which is not currently apparent in our market to our investor base, as well as The Newtek Advantage is really going to give our clients a very important asset and a major advantage to doing business with us versus doing business with traditional banking relationships.

On Slide #4, we talk about The Newtek Difference. It’s really important to be different and be different good. Obviously, that is our goal. That’s our aim, as we’ve demonstrated over 20 plus years in business. We believe we’re a differentiator, we believe we’re a disrupter. And what is that Newtek Difference? We’re going to wind up giving our clients personal banking relationships, and we’ll talk about that.

Analytics in The Newtek Advantage, software and transactional capabilities that other banks simply do not have. A snapshot or screenshot of the dashboard is on Slide #5. We refer to this as The Newtek Advantage. When you look down one side of the page of the screenshot, those are the relationships. You will get upon opening up an account and licensed insurance agents that you can click on, get them on camera, a deposit specialist click on them, get them on camera, a lending specialist click on it getting on camera, a payroll health and benefits specialist, click on get on camera.

A technology solution specialist what does that mean? Whether it’s managing their IT remotely, disaster recovery, whatever it might be in the technological realm, we can help a customer with that. Merchant accounts or payment processing, they’ll get a specialist to help them take these images discover American Express or ACH, they will have the five to six relationships with the Newtek Bank that they simply do not with the other competitors in the marketplace. If they’re lucky, they may know a banker somewhere. And at the end of the day, the bankers got to bring in all these other resources. And in most cases, the resources are not present in the bank. If in fact, the bank does offer payroll, workmen’s comp, a payment processing solution, whatever it might be, the dashboard will be a very important growth mechanism and vehicle to provide a better solution and asset to our business clients.

Slide #6 and further discussions about the Newtek Advantage. We talk about giving our business client a management asset. We believe it’s unique and not that easy to replicate because we’ve been in all these businesses for over 10 plus years. That’s payroll health and benefits. This is a licensed insurance agency, tech solutions, company, payment processor, lending et cetera. These are businesses that we have people, process and software that exists that are all getting pushed up into one common interface, The Newtek Advantage, which will be integrated into a core.

We are very, very excited about the opportunity to push the Advantage out in the market to give business clients what they really want. Multiple relationships with an organization with real live human beings. It’s not just a piece of software. And potentially we do think that our clients want to have their deposits, their payroll and their payments integrated into an accounting shield. That is something that is out there in the future subject to regulatory approval. And we’ll be pushing that to get that in place.

On Slide #7, the big question I’m asked about 15 times a day, what’s the status of regulatory approvals and timing? That’s the million dollar question. It’s actually more than a million dollars, but that is the big question. So we think the acquisition is pending approvals of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the acquisition of the bank, and the Board of Governors, the Federal Reserve as well as the Small Business Administration approving our capital plan, which historically they’ve done, and all the entities that we’ve been in.

We anticipate remaining our status as a BDC through December 31, and that obviously is up to the Board of Newtek, a obviously receiving regulatory approval to transform into a bank holding company owning a bank, and be electing that rich status. But we — our best guess is that status, probably we will be maintained through December 31, 2022. And obviously, the final decision, and the timing of the company’s discontinuous from regulation as a BDC, and the withdrawal of our election as a BDC. And the risk status will be determined by the Board of Directors as the authority and authorization granted by the shareholders.

Slide #8 eight. This is an important slide for me. And I wanted to note that the efforts of our staff in operating our businesses and fully servicing our clients with all their needs, while simultaneously preparing for the openings of Newtek Bank and getting regulatory approval, no small task. I want to point out because people have said to me, gee, you don’t know what it’s like being a bank. You don’t know what the regulation is like, you don’t have enough people to do this, who you’re going to hire? Well, we’re ready.

We’ve been positioned, and we brought people in that have helped Newtek as a BDC throughout the course of the year, and are positioned and ready to go when we’re ready to open up the bank. John McCaffery, who’s joining me on this call was one of those people who will be Chief Financial Officer of the bank, subject to regulatory approval. John has been with our organization, I believe around 6 months.

Nick Young has been with our organization as Chief Risk Officer, the BDC for over a year. Subject to approval, Nick will become the President and Chief Operating Officer of the Newtek Bank. Kelvin Lui has been with us, I believe, around 9 months. Kelvin is Chief Digital Officer, and has helped us with our technology solutions.

John Vivona. John joined us about 3 months ago as Chief Compliance Officer. [Indiscernible], who recently joined us in the last couple of weeks as SVP of Loan Administration. So these are five individuals just to give you an idea that have already been added to the payroll. Obviously, those are headwinds on our numbers this year, but preparing us for growing next year.

In addition to the fact, the legal expenses, the accounting expenses, the advisory expenses, these have all been somewhat of a drag on our dollar performance, but positioning us for the future. A tremendous investment that we are very confident will bear real good fruit for our shareholders and organizations going forward in the future.

We’ll also talk about in this call, the lack of $50 million of fee income from PPP in 2022 versus 2021 comparison, as well as a change currently for the first 9 months of this year for gain on sale margins to come in about three points less than they were in 2022. When you add all these things up, it’s pretty incredible. It’s almost $2.50 to $2.70 of earnings that existed in 2022. That didn’t exist this year. Yet, we still hope and intend to finally distribute and dividend out an expected $2.75 with the forecast for the fourth quarter at $0.70

I just want to note, this company has had a real, real strong year. I am very, very thankful to the associates, to the Board for everything that you’ve done during the course of this particular calendar year in the first 9 months as we report here today.

Slide #9, we put out a press release recently. I think there’s some more language in the press release that will be helpful for people to go back and take a look at. The rebranding of Newtek Business Service Corp. to NewtekOne. Renaming the public company NewtekOne really important.

We’re the one company for all your business needs. We’re the one company that makes you successful. We’re the one company that can help position you with analytics, with relationships and with transactional capability that will make your business better. It’s all about being number one.

We’ve had a almost three decade old philosophy that was developed way back when actually prior to the company being formed in 1998, where we recognized that providing a single set of branded and financial solutions to address the needs of independent business owners in the United States was very useful. We believe we can deliver the solutions that business owners need today.

So we’re excited about the rebranding of NewtekOne. People have said, why haven’t you done this before? When you think about businesses, their relationship with their bank, it’s extremely important. It’s direct, it’s a relationship, they typically go to 3x, 4x or 5x a week, 20x a month. And launching the Advantage at the same time is the right time to really unleash the power of what we’ve done and developed over the course of 20 years. We’re very, very excited about that.

Subject to approval, we hope to have a call similar to one we have today to talk about the actual technology of Newtek Advantage and share it even prior to the opening of the bank, prior to the opening of the bank, Newtek Advantage 1.0 will be unveiled and our clients will be able to have access to that. So we’re very, very excited about that.

We’ll be redefining — redesigning our corporate Web site at newtekone.com. So stay tuned for that. Once again, this rebranding strategy, real important, very targeted to independent business owners at the SBA. By its records indicates there’s 30 million of them in the United States.

Moving forward to Slide #10 and focusing on the third quarter — third quarter financial highlights. Record funding for Q3 7(a) loans, $223 million, which represents a 36{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} increase over $163 million a year prior. Also in units, very important. We’re doing more units with lower loan balances overall.

Newtek Small Business Finances funded 355 million of units, a record again up from 219 for the same period last year. Same record fundings over 9 months, $586 million versus $362 million. From January 1 to October 31, funds at a record $650 million. Because of that trend and funding track record, we bumped our guidance up to $775 million through the end of this particular calendar year. We funded $64 million of loans during October. That first month is always important.

Also important to note, that even though we have increased our fundings, we’ve done it without reducing the credit quality of our borrowers. We’ve actually tightened our credit standards. The weighted average FICO score in NSBF’s recent securitization was 725 on its guarantors, versus a weighted average FICO score on the portfolio at 12/31/2021 of 704. Once again, we talked about our premium gain on sale for the quarter, 9.4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} slightly up from the prior quarter, sequentially in September — in the second quarter of 2022.

So we go to Slide #11. Obviously, we believe our growth is based upon technology. We have a frictionless way to acquire loan opportunities, our borrowers love it. They don’t have to chase down bankers, brokers or BDOs. They put a referral in, they get a fact finder, it comes back almost depending on how quickly information passes back and forth, can come back within a half an hour or an hour. If they come back with the right answers, we immediately [technical difficulty] loan appointment when they’re available. Not when we’re available, when they’re available.

We don’t tell them we’re showing up on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday in the middle of their workday, we give them a calendar, and they’ve got the full gamut of calendar to pick to get a real live person on a camera to help them assemble their loan with our File Vault. No emails with PDFs attached, secured File Vault, it works really well, a frictionless way to get those best credits in real quick. We’re getting 1,000 to 1,500 referrals a day. That’s the big funnel. It’s important to note, those referrals could be for 7(a), 504, non-conforming and in the future subject to regulatory approval. When and if and hopefully it’s when most likely we believe [indiscernible] on a bank, conforming C&I loans and conforming CRE loans.

It’s important to note, the NewTracker system has been our system over 20 years. It’s been great for us. We have over one — actually its over $2 million — 2 million referrals that we’ve historically gotten, three NewTracker, it’s about 75,000 a quarter. And these are referrals that can basically go into any particular loan product or category.

Also important to note, we’ve made some really good changes through the pandemic, or reporting to Peter Downs who is a 22-year veteran of Newtek. Actually, no, I’m sorry, that was summer of 2003, so approaching 20-year veteranship for Peter Downs, Chief Lending Officer of the company.

Slide #12 talks about our pipeline growth. You can see the numbers real, real exciting. Both for 7(a) and the non-conforming business which we’ll talk about. [Indiscernible] kind of flattish, however, the fundings are setting records, both through October 31, which we’ll talk about and our estimation through the calendar year.

Slide #13 also talks about the full pipeline through October 31 of 17{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. 14 talks about growth in loan referrals, talks about the units. The referral system, the way to acquire clients cost effectively with alliance relationships like UBS, Morgan Stanley, Raymond James [indiscernible] trade association true value. These are our referral partners that have been with us for long periods of time. We do a great job of servicing them, and helping their clients get loans, get workman’s comp insurance, get a payment processing solution, get an e-commerce solution, get a payroll health and benefits solution. That’s the core nature of our business, broker list, BDO list and branch list.

Slide #15, we talk about dividends. Obviously, a 40s Act company, we must pay out between 90{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of our earnings in the form of dividends. And we have to do that as a RIC. We cannot retain any earnings. That will be an advantage to us converting into a bank holding company and a bank, less need to constantly sell shares. When stock price is high, it’s better to sell share. When stock price is low, you’d probably rather do it with debt. And you’ll also probably rather do with core deposits than expensive commercial funding as a BDC.

We have forecasted a Q4 2022 cash distribution of $0.70 a share. Important to note that in the event that we get approval, which we hope in the near-term in the quarter, we will look to distribute all of our income for the quarter as well as spillover income. So it’s important to get to that 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} mark. So for those of you that are used to seeing distributions at a lower level than the income with a gap in there, our goal is to get to that 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} mark not be under and potentially be over if we need to, just to make sure that we don’t have an issue with the RIC status.

I think it’s really important to note that, I sometimes take calls from investors and say, gee, your — you’ve distributed earnings, historically out of capital, that hasn’t happened. I don’t know where people get some of their numbers sometimes. But I get a lot of questions. Some of them are quite bizarre, but that’s what I wanted to clear up today. I also want to note that subject to the forecasts being accurate, the dividends and distributions for the full calendar year paid in cash would be estimated to be $2.75.

Slide #16. Once again, focusing on the third quarter financial highlights. Total investment income $23.6 million versus $12.4 million in the quarter year prior, 90{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} increase. Net investment income penny a share. That’s an increase of a loss of $0.30, or 103{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} increase. Adjusted NII $15 million versus $12.3 million, also an increase a little higher debt to equity ratio when you get the broker receivable out, as it should clear within a week to 10 days. That number gets knocked down to 1.26.

Total investment portfolio increased. NAV down a little bit, $16.04, not really alarming considering the cost of capital increases that we’ve experienced in Q3. I think it’s important to note for comparisons versus the consensus. These are the numbers that we have based upon an RB — KBW report from [indiscernible], Raymond James report from [indiscernible] Compass report from A-11.

Adjusted NII, KBW [indiscernible] report $0.54 for the quarter. Raymond James $0.65, Compass $0.57. As I calculate that that average is $0.58. To me, that’s a B. NII negative a penny KBW, negative a penny Raymond James, negative 0.13 Compass Point. We average that up as negative point 0.05 also B. That’s my calculation based upon those reports.

Slide #17. Financial highlights 9 months ended September 30. These were all fairly ugly comparisons. I think the important issue here relative to the ugly comparisons is the $50 million of fee income from PPP. PPP was a tremendous opportunity and benefit.

People could argue whether or not this was a useful tool for government spending, that’s not my job, our job is to do our job, participate in the licensing, continue the mission as an SBA letter, which was to put this money out the businesses, which 65{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the funds needed to go to employees for payroll in order to get loan forgiveness. And we did that. We did that to about the tune of $2 billion with 26,000 customers.

However, that income has to be shifted back to our core business. So $50 million of income, if you take that out of the equation, at the current share count, that’s about two bucks a share. The other thing I want to point out, which we’ll do in pricing shortly, is the gain on sale margin of three points. So I’ll try to draw the comparisons.

I think the important point to note is, we have made a tremendous change over in 2022. Preparing to acquire a bank, to pay to become a bank holding company, getting staff in place, getting software in place, potentially for a bank opening, repositioning the company to get back to its core operating business of 7(a), 504, non-conforming lending. Getting those lending agreements back in place as well as having this tremendous headwind of no PPP fee income and a three point differentiator on if you round it to 800 million, there’ll be 600 million of gain on sale, that’s almost $18 million of profits, or about $0.72 a share.

Major difference, and this is what I was talking about at the beginning of the conversation. We’re very excited about how our company has performed in this calendar year. We’re very well-positioned for the future. And eventually, growth stocks are people with an imagination that like to buy low and sell high might look at Newtek as an opportunity. But obviously, that choice will be up to the people listening on the quality investment community.

Slide 18 is a common slide we have in the pro forma debt to equity reconciliation. Slide #19 also a common slide. Please note that the average loan size of the uninsured loan participations on our balance sheet keeps declining, $150,000. We like small loans, we like diversification. Important to note, most of those loans are sitting in non-recourse securitizations, and Newtek Small Business Finance where they’re sitting in our Capital One line.

We’re going to Slide #20. This is what I was referring to on the net premium trends. So this slide goes back to 2018. But it really look for sort of an equilibrium, probably over the course of 10 years. The equilibrium price on the Prime plus floaters is somewhere between 110.5 and maybe 112. Maybe it averages, 110.5, 111, maybe a little shade above that. But obviously for the first 9 months of this year, we’ve been averaging 10.02, last year 13.05 and three points.

On an $800 million a year and I’m rounding up from $75 million guidance, that $600 million of government-guarantees three points, that’s $80 million of pre-tax profit. It’s almost $0.70 a share. Well, that has to be made up somewhere. So we’re very proud of the performance that we’ve had.

In addition, on Slide #21, another headwind that we’ve had is the fact that Prime has been lagging the treasury market. And it’s been lagging short-term rates as well, which we’ve been basically been financing historically over LIBOR. So our NSBF net interest trend even though the gross interest keeps growing as rates rise, which we’re happy about, but our cost of funds, which is adjusting monthly is hitting us where the quarterly adjusts on the loans are lagging. Next year will be the year for catch up.

And I think it’s important to note as we talked about in our press release, and in parts of this discussion, we’re looking at probably in the first quarter of next year, our portfolio having a coupon of 10{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 10.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. If you go to bank rate, which is typically where the higher cost of bank deposit money is going to, you’re looking at 3.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, 3.25{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, 3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, 4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, that’s a pretty good NIM, particularly given that 75{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the loans in the 7(a) business have a big premium for gain on sale. We like our business. We like our model. We’ve been in this for over 20 years. We manage it well. The trend should bode well for us in 2023.

2022, I get asked this question a lot. How do you protect yourself in the current environment? Meaning rates rising and there’s some level of credit deterioration. We basically acknowledged that we’ve been tightening our underwriting criteria as we anticipated that the Goldilocks scenario of aggressive monetary and fiscal policy with some point come to an end. So how do you combat that? Higher FICO and SBSS scores. Two, underwriting with stress tests and higher levels of interest rate starting points.

Loans that you’re putting on the books today are being stressed of 2{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} 3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} at the current levels of rates. The newer loans, frankly, in these climates tend to be better performing loans than the older loans. I think it’s important to note, when we make these loans, we want to make sure that the business has got a very substantial amount of excess liquidity in the event that historic and the future projections are missed.

It’s important to note SBA loans are loans that are made to businesses. It’s a business loan. If they see an ILO and if the business cannot show that it can make payments and service to debt, either on historic performance, or projections, that loan does not get made. So we look to lend to businesses that can liquidate collateral, have unencumbered borrowing power to survive unknown circumstances, things that just don’t work out as well as they had planned so they can get through the tough economic time and climate. Like I said, we’ve been doing this for 20 years, up cycles, down cycles, up credit, down credit, up rates, down rates, not our first rodeo.

Slide #23. You could see our currency rate on our accrual portfolio still remains very high. I have to say we don’t expect it to remain this high. I said that in the last quarter, you’re going to start to see some deterioration here as rates and inflation creeps into it. We do think we’ll have higher charge-offs that we’ve experienced over the last 2 years, that’s clearly factored into our forecasts. We’ve seen this before, we do not believe this is ’08, ’09.

We think it is a lesser issue with respect to that. Our clients still have a reasonable amount of liquidity, and the economy is still on a pretty good footing. But once again, we just want to be careful that we have a very good feel for these markets. We’ve been in them for over two decades. We know how this works. It’s not our first rodeo. We have very experienced people making these decisions.

Slide #24 and 25 are illustrations that we’ve existed for those 88 conference calls, and really demonstrate the economics of the 7(a) loan. Slide #27, the SBA 504 loan program. Important to note, through October 31, we closed $101 million of SBA 504 loans, a record. We’re forecasting $150 million of loans closings for the full year, that would also be a record.

We have plenty of credit availability on our lines as we sit here today to be able to grow this business. We liked the 504 business quite a bit. It’s a loan that’s made for most people that are familiar with it. It’s a 90{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} LTV with a 40{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} second taken out by government debentures, so we’re left with a 50{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} LTV against commercial real estate first, and [indiscernible] personal guarantees and good positive debt service coverage ratios.

On Slide #28. Newtek Business Lending is the entity that originates the 504 loans and the NCL loans. So these are the non-7(a) loans. Historically, we don’t really report this portfolio, because they’re done out of control portfolio companies. However, we thought it was important to demonstrate to the market at a $388 million loans that have originated since 2017 and $132.5 that originated since 2019. We’ve not experienced any defaults or charge-offs to date. And that’s just a $500 million worth of loans, no defaults, no charge-offs. We’re very proud of our portfolio performance in this particular category.

Slide #29 depicts what a 504 loan looks like. Slide #30 talks about the return on equity in this business, which is very high as well as the 7(a) business which is why as a bank, holding company owning a bank, we believe we can generate really high ROAAs and really high ROTCEs. We’re excited about how we would look as a bank.

For those of you that are familiar with our company, on the Investor Relations section, there’s an old illustration I’ll point out, it’ll have to get updated. But it’s all based on old data of where we think the bank might look at that point in time for ROAA and ROTCE high numbers, go take a look at that.

Slide #31. Talking about a non-conforming conventional lending program. Well, we’ve been in the business since 2019. We’re in this business because very accretive. We get tremendous operating leverage out of being able to do loans that don’t fit the SBA box. So when we use the term non-conforming, we’re referring to it non-conforming to a 7(a) or a 504 or government programs.

So we did a securitization in January. $81 million worth of loans. It was 16 units, rated by DBRS. They’re in a trust, you can take a look at how that portfolio is performing. No defaults, no delinquencies, it’s doing really, really well. And this was our first example of a real good exit and a financing and a good ROA.

Slide #32. We talked about expanding this program. I want to note that we’ve made some tremendous headway in this calendar year in a tough market. Obviously, not that easy to attract capital. Things are moving along quite quickly. But we have a transaction with a joint venture partner. Joint venture is funded by a $15 billion asset management company to provide up to $100 million of equity capital. We will match that equity capital. We have and we’re prepared to close on $150 million leveraged facility from a well-known investment bank. We believe that we can grow that facility to greater numbers as well.

And we do believe as we move forward to Slide #33, and the rationale for growing this non-conforming conventional loan business, which will be done at the BDC level, through controlled portfolio companies or in a bank holding company out of the bank. We are looking to originate about $600 million of these loans in 2023, a $1 billion in 2024. Once the [indiscernible] expectation of the funded through joint ventures help the bank holding company. This will give us additional origination fees, additional servicing income, the ability to asset liability, match the loans while they’re in the credit warehouse facility through hedging that we’ve done historically, as well as once they go into securitization totally match funding.

So Slide #34, we continue to talk about the securitization that we did on January 28 2022. Slide #35, we go to another one of our successful controlled portfolio companies that was established in 2002, our merchant processing business. We generated EBITDA of a little over $14 million, I think that was about $14.5 million of all of our payments business last year. But that’s a nice growth this year, up to $16 million of EBITDA.

We have a very reasonable multiple on that business. And that’s an important part of our ecosystem and being able to offer value to our customers to help them move money, bill, invoice, use POS systems and all state-of-the-art e-commerce to be able to take payments, and use the payment processing system. Very important function of a bank.

Slide #36, Newtek Technology Solutions in Phoenix-based cloud computing business. We’re forecasting $4 million of EBITDA. Between that and the NMS business, about $20 million of EBITDA. Both businesses will be held up at the bank holding company.

Slide #37. Many people aren’t aware of the fact that we own 60{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, of an organization that provides a POS to our customers that can be white-labeled for our alliance partners. And we’re really excited about the growth and the opportunity in competing against [indiscernible], Square and others to be able to provide this attractive software.

Slide #38. Two other important portfolio companies that we believe really experienced tremendous growth based upon their positioning in The Newtek Advantage. Newtek Payroll Benefits Solutions and Newtek Insurance agencies. These are businesses that will consolidate in our financials going forward, if in fact, we get regulatory approval become a bank holding company on a bank.

Important to note, everything will consolidate. So all the accounting will change over from 40s Act accounting to 33 Act accounting. We plan on being very transparent. So there’ll be financials on the bank, financials on insurance, financials on payroll, and everyone will be able to do their in depth evaluation.

Going to Slide #39, from an investment summary perspective and some of things where I turn the call over to Nick Leger. Important to note, and I really wanted to emphasize this. We’ve been publicly traded since 2000 and the company was established in 1998. I’m one of the original founders. Important to note, the insiders of Newtek own approximately 6{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of the outstanding shares. So our interests are very much in line with shareholders.

As we’ve talked about, we believe very strongly that the best opportunity for Newtek Business Service Corp. future NewtekOne will be to unlock the value of its technology that’s built over 19 years, which will be much easier to do and display as a bank holding company and offer much greater rewards to its current customer base.

Obviously BDC dividend investors have been rewarded with high dividends during this window of time. But realistically, they’ve had fairly perfect information with respect that we are no longer going to be distributing 90{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} or 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} of our income out. And many of our BDC investors are retail and they want the dividend and really don’t want to hear about anything else. We appreciate that. We understand that. I have to be a shareholder and I haven’t to be a major beneficiary and enjoyed those dividends.

However, the new structure will allow for increased total participation. Number one, BDCs are excluded from the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000. I think it’s important to note, we’ve had estimates from researchers that indicate that, there could be about 2 million shares of Newtek buying, just going into the Russell 2000 alone. I wouldn’t rely upon that statement, do your own research. But however, going into the Russell without market cap, cleared a lot of institutional buying.

In addition, institutional investors really have a hard time buying BDCs, because of the AFFE issue. A lot of people don’t know about this, they don’t understand it, they don’t know what it means. Well, I don’t want to get too much into the weeds here. But we’re an internally managed BDC, not externally managed BDC, which is an advantage by the way. So we don’t further our nest as management participants taking fees out of the entity. Our dividends are after those fees.

With that said, because we’re internally managed, it’s the SG&A that hit this number. It makes it very difficult for institutional investors to actually own Newtek or other BDCs. So we do believe that this is going to open up the box to a lot of additional investors to Newtek. We are looking forward to declaring which we have not yet, but we have forecasted a $0.70 cash distribution for the fourth quarter. And obviously, that’s coming up rather quickly, because we’re already in November. So the return on that cash return is pretty high.

So we look at going forward, if we get the regulatory approvals which we hopeful or imminent, but anything can happen. As I said, to many people, this isn’t [indiscernible], close is nothing to get the letter. You never know you there. So once that occurs, we will try to turn around and provide earnings forecasts for 2023 and 2024. We’ve given some idea what that could generally look at by the August 2 Or 3 discussion, if you go to the Investor Relations section. I think the thing is labeled August 4 presentation, when that’s when it’s been put up. But anyway, so look for that August 2, 3 or 4 date, you’ll get a feel. But I think importantly, we put that out, there’ll be some nice guidance for the market. We haven’t been able to do that at this point in time, because we want to know what the final structure is subject to regulatory approval.

We’re also hopeful that our sell-side analysts will transfer coverage for BDC analysts to bank analysts. We don’t have a lot of guidance out there. It’s been very difficult. Also, earnings multiples are depressed for both BDCs and bank stocks currently. And obviously, we talked about gain on sales margins being depressed, and lags in [indiscernible] headwinds.

With that said, I hope we’ve been able to illuminate the quarter and the performance year-to-date, and how excited we are about our future, despite the fact that it’s a tough news channel half there, but we still feel pretty good about it. And we’re very optimistic about our future. I would now like to turn the financial review over to Nick Leger, our Chief Accounting Officer.

Nicholas Leger

Thank you, Barry. Good morning, everyone. You can find a summary of our third quarter 2022 results on Slide #41, as well as the reconciliation of our adjusted net investment income, or adjusted NII on Slide #43 and 44.

For the third quarter 2022, we had a net investment income of $205,000, or $0.01 per share, as compared to a net investment loss of $6.7 million, or $0.30 per share in the third quarter of 2021. That’s 103{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} increase on a per share basis. Please note that income related to the PPP of $269,000 is included in the third quarter 2021 investment income. Adjusted NII, which is defined on Slide #42 was $15 million, or $0.62 per share in the third quarter of 2022 as compared to $12.6 million or $0.56 per share for the third quarter of 2021.

Focusing on third quarter 2022 highlights, we recognized $23.6 million in total investment income, which is a 90.3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} increase over the third quarter of 2021, total investment income of $12.4 million. The primary driver of the increase in total investment income was primarily due to the $7.2 million of dividends from the portfolio companies in the third quarter of 2022.

In addition, interest income increased by $1.7 million, resulting from a year-over-year increase in the accrual loan portfolio. Other income increased by $1.8 million in the third quarter of 2022 compared to Q3 2021, resulting mainly from a year-over-year increase in SBA 7(a) loan origination volume.

Servicing income increased by 28 — 20.4{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to $3.6 million in the third quarter of 2022 versus $2.8 million in the same quarter of 2021. Distributions from portfolio companies for the third quarter of 2022 totaled $7.2 million, which included $4.35 million from NMS, $1.65 million from NBL our 504 business, $360,000 from NCL, our conventional joint venture, $720,000 from AMS, and $150,000 from Mobil Money, and that is compared to the third quarter of 2021, where there were no distributions from portfolio companies.

Focusing on expenses. Total expenses for the third quarter of 2022 increased by $4.3 million compared to Q3 2021, mainly driven by higher interest related costs and increase in SBA 7(a) loan referral fees due to higher loan origination volume and loan origination processing costs. Realized gains recognized from the sale of the guaranteed portions of the SBA loan sold during the third quarter of 2022 totaled $19.6 million as compared to $22.4 million during the same quarter in 2021.

In the third quarter of 2022, NSBF sold 321 loans for $172.4 million at an average premium of 9.45{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} as compared to 205 loans sold during the third quarter of 2021 for $148 million at an average premium of 13.04{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. The decrease in realized gain was attributed to low average premium prices in the secondary market when comparing to the third quarter of 2021. NSBF sold 56.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} more units in the third quarter of 2022 as compared to the third quarter of 2021. As I mentioned earlier, income related to the PPP is including investment income, not unrealized gains.

Realized losses on SBA non-affiliate investments for the third quarter of 2022 was $4.9 million, as compared to $3.2 million in the third quarter of 2021. Overall, our operating results for the third quarter of 2022 resulted in a net increase in net assets of $11.4 million, or $0.47 per share. And we ended the quarter with NAV per share of $16.04.

I would now like to turn the call back to Barry.

Barry Sloane

Thank you, Nick. Operator, we’ll open it up for Q&A now.

Question-and-Answer Session

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Scott [indiscernible] from Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Unidentified Analyst

Thanks very much. Congrats on a great quarter.

Barry Sloane

Thank you, Scott.

Unidentified Analyst

I am wondering if you could give us some color on loan demand. The growth has been clearly outstanding, especially in light of current situations we’re dealing with here. Massive hike — rate hikes, and the questions of the possible recessions next year. And, obviously, we talked about preparing for non-performing loans, which help — was certainly helpful. But I’m very curious in terms of your conversations with current customers or future customers, both in SBA and non-SBA, more conventional bank lending. What kind of appetite are you seeing on the horizon for your loan book? Thanks.

Barry Sloane

Sure. Thank you. I think it’s when people talk about loan demand, they always think about it in the aggregate. And when you think about, like Bank of America, big bank, I mean, they actually — they are almost the market because they’re that big. We have the opportunity, given how we’re set up using technology to pick and choose what we think are the best credits.

So even though the market is softer, number one, you’re able to get much better terms from the borrower. Number two, people that might not have thought about borrowing, now come into the borrowing realm. And those are clients that are typically stronger borrowers. They have more assets. They have more commercial real estate, they have more unencumbered things that they can pledge and have better businesses. So the goal is to continue to be selective, pay attention to the things that we talked about.

But we are fortunate that we’re not struggling to get opportunities. So we’re able to pour through those opportunities and get the best opportunities. In addition, these are times where you’ve got the bank lenders that were tripping over themselves to do loans, a 2.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 3{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} rates, or 3.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, all of a sudden, they’re like, risk off, they don’t want — they don’t really want to put money out there. And I think that in economies that are declining or declining, or not increasing at a faster rate or declining at a slow rate, there’s still really good credits out there. And that’s what we excel in, making sure we pick those best credit.

So plenty of loan demand, plenty of opportunity to make money. So charge-offs may not be 50 basis points. Maybe they’re 75, maybe they go up to 1, maybe they’re a little higher on an annual basis. But when you look at the coupons that we can charge, which is what we’ve experienced over 20 years, and really paying attention and realizing that, in our best guess at this point in time, we are not, ’08, ’09. This is nothing close to ’08, 09.

I mean, unfortunately, the risk has been shifted to the government, or for commercial enterprises and consumers. So commercial enterprises and consumers and their balance sheets unlike ’08, 09 are actually in pretty good shape. It’s the government that’s got all the debt at the Fed level, in potentially budget deficits at the state level. So our customers are actually in pretty good shape from balance sheet prospective. Question is, will consumers continue to spend? There’s still a lot of liquidity out there. So, we feel good about there being enough great credits to make good loans with better terms.

Unidentified Analyst

Great. That’s very helpful. And if you could sort of have your wish list in terms of the loan mix, would you prefer to have the same level of SBA versus non-SBA? And how would you [multiple speakers] going forward?

Barry Sloane

I think that — yes, I think that we’re going to have a real good year. And we’re trying to finish nailing down a few funding commitments, which we think we’ll do here in the next couple of weeks for the non-conforming book, which diversifies us now. When we say non-conforming, those are typically borrowers that want bigger loans, have stronger personal guarantees, have more liquidity than the SBA book.

So we would like to clearly continue to grow as we’ve grown in 7(a), but use the operating leverage that we’ve got existing in the company to put on more 504, more non-conforming, and if we are blessed with the regulatory approval, put on conforming C&I and CRE in the bank. So really have a very diverse portfolio and now you’ve covered almost all angles of the lending spectrum. So you’ve got businesses at different maturation points, that you continue to lend to them, as they get better and better and grow and get bigger.

Unidentified Analyst

That’s terrific. Thanks so much.

Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question. And our next question comes from Jim Collins from Excelsior Capital Partners. Your line is now open.

Jim Collins

Thank you. Good morning, Barry.

Barry Sloane

Good morning, Jim.

Jim Collins

Question on the — question on a little bit of a geeky question, sorry, but on the dividends, so this is Slide 16. So if this transaction — if everything is approved, as planned, essentially, as I understand that you basically have to sort of push all the retained earnings back out. And so my question is …

Barry Sloane

That’s correct.

Jim Collins

… so then that would be as of September 30, correct? Because then those that distribution would have been made by 12/31. So then for your full year ’22 earnings, it wouldn’t be included or am I misunderstanding that process?

Barry Sloane

Let me lay this out and then tell me if I’ve answered the question. The $0.70 forecast that we have made. It’s a forecast, it’s not a declaration yet for a distribution for Q4. It’s an estimate of Q4 earnings plus any spillover to get to the 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} mark through December 31, 2022.

Jim Collins

Okay.

Barry Sloane

So in the event that the Board declares that dividend, and then declares that it’s going to withdraw its election as a BDC, the goal would be to distribute every dollar of income, including anything that’s been retained historically, which does require work and an estimate that the company has been at work and doing, but hasn’t fully wrapped up yet.

Jim Collins

Okay. So that’s …

Barry Sloane

So when and if the derricking [ph] occurs, all that income is paid to the shareholders. So look, you think about it, 2021 was a banner year, and our shareholders participated in that by getting the benefit of the earnings because there’s a BDC, paid all out. But some of it modest amounts were retained from that year and years prior, et cetera, et cetera, by like, that’s kind of the way the market likes it. Don’t give it all out, but give most of it out. And you’ll get between 90{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} and 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}. However, to conclude, you want to pay 100{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 101{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} to 102{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} out just to make sure that you don’t miss.

Jim Collins

Exactly. And then that that figure is the one that you would be including in the 10-K, which obviously will take you a few months to follow. I’m just wondering if …

Barry Sloane

Yes.

Jim Collins

… it’s all done by 12/31, then there’s no like catch up, if you want to call it that in 1Q ’23. You really will have it all out.

Barry Sloane

That’s the — that would most likely be the intention, yes.

Jim Collins

Okay, that helps. That clarifies a lot. Thank you very much, Barry.

Barry Sloane

Thank you, Jim. We appreciate [indiscernible].

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Paul Johnson from KBW. Your line is now open.

Paul Johnson

Yes, good morning, guys. I hope you can hear me okay. Thanks for taking my question. Just one quick clarification. I just wanted to let you know my estimate, the $0.63 versus the $0.54 that you mentioned, so I’m not quite sure what if there’s some stale information that you’re looking at, but just wanted to clarify?

Barry Sloane

Do you have an August 8 report, Paul?

Paul Johnson

Yes, I — well, I don’t know, sometime in September, I believe I may have updated the estimates.

Barry Sloane

Okay. Well, we did it off the August 8 report and that’s where we are. But that’s [indiscernible]. But that’s I went over this morning.

Paul Johnson

Got you. Okay. All right. Well, one thing I just kind of wanted to ask on, I mean, as far as the approval rating for the loans in your portfolio, I mean, the tightening standards that you started to make, I guess, for the underwriting practices. I mean, are these systematic changes that you’ve made to the system for everything in terms of the Newtek Tracker System, more, I would say, rigid, sort of discipline changes that you’ve made to the underwriting system at Newtek, or these more of just kind of discretionary manual sort of tightening standards that you’re making across the company.

Barry Sloane

I think your question is, do you use a computer generated algorithm? Or is there individual discretion by human beings at a loan committee level?

Paul Johnson

Yes.

Barry Sloane

The answer would be the latter. So we still believe at this point, that it’s important that we use human credit committees .As a matter of fact, our regulators require that whether that’s the SBA or in the future as a bank, and we believe historically that looking at things at the moment, from a human perspective, does work. And with that said, our FICO scores have improved. Our average loan size has gone down from a diversification perspective, are trying to close a deal when they come in, has quickened based upon our technology. So our data is showing us that the technological things that we’ve put in place are working. But important to note, there is still a human committee that ultimately makes loan decisions whether to approve or not.

Paul Johnson

Got it. I mean, so does that mean, as you’re tightening these standards, I’ve seen a lot of lenders in the market are doing the same thing kind of in this environment. Does that mean you’re also giving up on spread and pricing for the loans that you’re originating? Or they still coming in around what historically originated at the 275 or 300 basis point spread?

Barry Sloane

No, we haven’t cut our rate. And that’s because we don’t use brokers or bankers at auction loans often put us in competition. We offer our customers 10 to 25 year [indiscernible] schedules, no covenants. They must personally guarantee the loan, they must pledge all personal and business assets. That’s our program. It goes into the hopper. We don’t really discuss rate with them. We openly discuss payment and proceeds. And that’s what we went on.

Paul Johnson

Yes, appreciate it. And then, it’s a little bit difficult to know if the small business economy has really feeling a slowdown or not at the moment. I’m just curious how much interaction you do have with borrowers, in terms of information that you get from the projections, potentially, how frequently do you get that sort of information? And are we at the point where companies are reducing expenses, reducing headcount, are these trends that you’re noticing at all for your borrowers?

Barry Sloane

So I think that up until September 30, we really didn’t see much movement. I do believe that we’ve seen changes in October and November, I have to say, part of it is, when you turn on your TV and the midterm elections, how could you be positive? When you turn the TV on and we’re all inundated through all various forms of media, about how bad things are, it definitely turns you negative, and also the economic data of rising rates and inflation and things of that nature. So we do believe that we’ll finally begin to see the slowdown.

We’ve seen a little bit of that in the payment space, but not dramatically. So consumer spending is still pretty strong. It’ll be interesting to see what happens with Christmas spending, because a little too early to tell. But we’ve definitely seen October and November is different than September, obviously, with the seasonal adjustments factored in. So we’re starting to see a slowdown as these rate hikes and inflation issues do eat into people’s excess liquidity and savings.

Paul Johnson

Got it. Thanks, guys. That’s great color. We’ll be all watching closely, of course. And my last question was just on the portfolio yield for next quarter. Actually, in the fourth quarter I saw in the press release where you gave some guidance next year for 10{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550}, 10.5{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} yields on the debt, the debt portfolio this coming quarter. I was wondering if you could potentially provide any sort of guidance. I don’t think it should be quite in that 10{ac23b82de22bd478cde2a3afa9e55fd5f696f5668b46466ac4c8be2ee1b69550} range, but any sort of estimation there would be helpful.

Barry Sloane

Well, first of all, I think that the SBA changed its regs. So we will be out at and are currently added Prime plus three, on our loans. So we’re going to pick up another 25 basis points. And it’s really hard to determine what pricing is going to be particularly going into the end of the year, particularly with another December price hike, et cetera, et cetera. So we’re kind of trying to figure out what that gain on sale might be. I think somewhere between 109 and 110.5 might — as a range might be useful, but it’s hard to forecast at this point in time.

Paul Johnson

Got it. I appreciate it. I was actually referring to the yield on your just retained debt portfolio. So [multiple speakers] …

Barry Sloane

Oh, well that in January, I really just point out where your [indiscernible]. But in January, it’s going to be north of 10. But it gets all complicated because whatever’s on the books does not get the 75 basis point rate hike until January 1. So, on that basis, it’s whatever Prime was at the end of September. So I’m going to think you’re probably around 9 in a quarter.

Paul Johnson

Got it. Yes, that’s helpful. Those are all my questions and thanks for having me today.

Barry Sloane

Paul, thanks. I appreciate your help. I realize it’s we haven’t made it that easy with all of this transition and noise. So I appreciate all the work that you’ve done. Thank you.

Operator

And thank you. And I’m showing no further questions. I would now like to turn the call back over to Barry Sloane for closing remarks.

Barry Sloane

Great. Well, I appreciate everyone attending. We look forward to making some more progress on our transaction. And hopefully that will really give investors a clear view as to what we see as being a really constructive future for Newtek Business Service Corp. and all its stakeholders. So I want to thank everyone for attending, particularly those that joined and ask questions. We appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. Thanks for participating You may now disconnect.